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FSV Zwickau v Erzgebirge Aue: numbers & prediction

Regionalliga Nordost · Germany · GGZ-Arena Zwickau
0–3
FT
FSV Zwickau 38%Draw 20%Erzgebirge Aue 42% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.48
66%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.39 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.39Odds

Picks by market

ResultErzgebirge Aue to win ✓42% · @2.29
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.54
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.64

FSV Zwickau vs Erzgebirge Aue: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: FSV Zwickau v Erzgebirge Aue in the Regionalliga Nordost, played at GGZ-Arena Zwickau. In the table, FSV Zwickau are 11th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Erzgebirge Aue are 6th (upper half) with 30.

Current form

FSV Zwickau, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Erzgebirge Aue, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hallescher FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FSV Zwickau 1.4 xG, Erzgebirge Aue 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FSV Zwickau 38%, draw 20%, Erzgebirge Aue 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.54.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: FSV Zwickau 1–1 Erzgebirge Aue. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FSV Zwickau38%fair 2.60 · @2.43
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.62
Erzgebirge Aue42%fair 2.40 · @2.29
2.90Expected goals
1.41FSV Zwickau xG
1.48Erzgebirge Aue xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: FSV Zwickau 1.4 – 1.5 Erzgebirge Aue expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultErzgebirge Aue to win ✓42%2.402.29
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.601.54
Draw no betErzgebirge Aue (draw no bet) ✓52%1.92–
Asian handicapFSV Zwickau +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.501.39
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreErzgebirge Aue to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Erzgebirge Aue / FT Erzgebirge Aue ✓23%4.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.64–

Recent results

FSV Zwickau – last 6

DWDLLD
16 Oct@ FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2–2D
9 Octvs Tasmania Berlin2–0W
27 Sep@ Hertha BSC II1–1D
18 Sepvs Hallescher FC1–3L
15 Sepvs Altglienicke1–2L
12 Sep@ BSG Chemie Leipzig2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Erzgebirge Aue – last 6

LLLDWW
18 Octvs Hallescher FC0–1L
11 Oct@ Greifswalder FC0–1L
27 Sepvs BSG Chemie Leipzig1–2L
19 Sep@ FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2–2D
16 Sep@ Magdeburg II2–1W
12 Sepvs Luckenwalde2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FSV Zwickau and Erzgebirge Aue.

FSV Zwickau vs Erzgebirge Aue head-to-head page →

Regionalliga Nordost table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt161141+2937
2Chemnitzer FC161033+1833
3BFC Dynamo16952+1232
4Hallescher FC16871+1131
5Altglienicke16934+1230
6Erzgebirge Aue16934+730
7FC Carl Zeiss Jena16835+1027
8Greifswalder FC16754+926
9Lokomotive Leipzig16664+324
10Magdeburg II16637-121
11FSV Zwickau16547-919
12SV Babelsberg 0316448-1216
13BFC Preussen16367-315
14BSG Chemie Leipzig16358-714
15Hertha BSC II16268-1512
16Tasmania Berlin163211-2411
17RSV Eintracht162311-209
18Luckenwalde162212-208

More Regionalliga Nordost predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FSV Zwickau vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.

Who will win FSV Zwickau vs Erzgebirge Aue?

On our numbers FSV Zwickau have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Erzgebirge Aue 42%.

How many goals will there be in FSV Zwickau vs Erzgebirge Aue?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FSV Zwickau vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Our predicted score is FSV Zwickau 1–1 Erzgebirge Aue, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is FSV Zwickau vs Erzgebirge Aue?

FSV Zwickau vs Erzgebirge Aue (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at GGZ-Arena Zwickau.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.