Greifswalder FC v BSG Chemie Leipzig Prediction & Expected Goals (1 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGreifswalder FC to win ✗64% · @1.74

Double chanceEither team to win ✗87% · @1.15

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14

Greifswalder FC vs BSG Chemie Leipzig: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Greifswalder FC v BSG Chemie Leipzig in the Regionalliga Nordost. In the table, Greifswalder FC are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; BSG Chemie Leipzig are 14th (lower half) with 14. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Greifswalder FC, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

BSG Chemie Leipzig, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Hertha BSC II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Greifswalder FC 2.1 xG, BSG Chemie Leipzig 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Greifswalder FC 64%, draw 13%, BSG Chemie Leipzig 23%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Greifswalder FC to win (64%, odds 1.74 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Greifswalder FC 2–1 BSG Chemie Leipzig. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Greifswalder FC64%fair 1.56 · @1.74

Draw13%fair 7.43 · @3.99

BSG Chemie Leipzig23%fair 4.43 · @3.50

3.24Expected goals

2.13Greifswalder FC xG

1.11BSG Chemie Leipzig xG

62%Both score

63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

1–19%

2–09%

1–08%

3–17%

3–06%

From our goals model: Greifswalder FC 2.1 – 1.1 BSG Chemie Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Greifswalder FC to win ✗	64%	1.56	1.74 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	87%	1.16	1.15
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.62	1.45
Draw no bet	Greifswalder FC (draw no bet)	74%	1.35	–
Asian handicap	Greifswalder FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	63%	1.58	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	59%	1.69	1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	–
First team to score	Greifswalder FC to score first	63%	1.59	–
Half-time result	Greifswalder FC ahead at half-time ✗	45%	2.23	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Greifswalder FC / FT Greifswalder FC ✗	39%	2.57	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.14	–

Greifswalder FC – last 6

LLWLWW

24 Oct	vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2–3	L
18 Oct	@ Magdeburg II	2–4	L
11 Oct	vs Erzgebirge Aue	1–0	W
25 Sep	@ BFC Dynamo	0–1	L
20 Sep	vs Luckenwalde	3–1	W
16 Sep	@ RSV Eintracht	2–1	W

1.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

BSG Chemie Leipzig – last 6

WDLWLW

25 Oct	vs Hertha BSC II	2–0	W
17 Oct	@ Lokomotive Leipzig	2–2	D
9 Oct	vs Luckenwalde	1–3	L
27 Sep	@ Erzgebirge Aue	2–1	W
20 Sep	vs Chemnitzer FC	1–3	L
16 Sep	@ Tasmania Berlin	5–2	W

2.2Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	16	11	4	1	+29	37
2	Chemnitzer FC	16	10	3	3	+18	33
3	BFC Dynamo	16	9	5	2	+12	32
4	Hallescher FC	16	8	7	1	+11	31
5	Altglienicke	16	9	3	4	+12	30
6	Erzgebirge Aue	16	9	3	4	+7	30
7	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	16	8	3	5	+10	27
8	Greifswalder FC	16	7	5	4	+9	26
9	Lokomotive Leipzig	16	6	6	4	+3	24
10	Magdeburg II	16	6	3	7	-1	21
11	FSV Zwickau	16	5	4	7	-9	19
12	SV Babelsberg 03	16	4	4	8	-12	16
13	BFC Preussen	16	3	6	7	-3	15
14	BSG Chemie Leipzig	16	3	5	8	-7	14
15	Hertha BSC II	16	2	6	8	-15	12
16	Tasmania Berlin	16	3	2	11	-24	11
17	RSV Eintracht	16	2	3	11	-20	9
18	Luckenwalde	16	2	2	12	-20	8

Team

Pts

+29

+18

+12

+11

+12

+10

-1

-9

-12

-3

-7

-15

-24

-20

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Greifswalder FC vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?

Our pick is Greifswalder FC to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.74.

Who will win Greifswalder FC vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?

On our numbers Greifswalder FC have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 13% and BSG Chemie Leipzig 23%.

How many goals will there be in Greifswalder FC vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Greifswalder FC vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?

Our predicted score is Greifswalder FC 2–1 BSG Chemie Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Greifswalder FC vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?

Greifswalder FC vs BSG Chemie Leipzig (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Greifswalder FC v BSG Chemie Leipzig: numbers & prediction