Tasmania Berlin 16%Draw 22%Chemnitzer FC 62%Expected goals 1.16 – 2.35
68%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.72 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChemnitzer FC to win ✓62% · @1.51
Double chanceChemnitzer FC or draw ✓84% · fair 1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Tasmania Berlin vs Chemnitzer FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tasmania Berlin welcome Chemnitzer FC for a Regionalliga Nordost fixture on Sunday 1 November (14:00 WAT). In the table, Tasmania Berlin are 16th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 16 matches; Chemnitzer FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 33. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tasmania Berlin, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over RSV Eintracht, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Chemnitzer FC, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Magdeburg II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Chemnitzer FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Tasmania Berlin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tasmania Berlin 1.2 xG, Chemnitzer FC 2.4 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tasmania Berlin 16%, draw 22%, Chemnitzer FC 62%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.72.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.72 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tasmania Berlin 1–2 Chemnitzer FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tasmania Berlin16%fair 6.44 · @8.00
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.11
Chemnitzer FC62%fair 1.61 · @1.51
3.51Expected goals
1.16Tasmania Berlin xG
2.35Chemnitzer FC xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–28%
1–18%
1–38%
0–17%
0–36%
From our goals model: Tasmania Berlin 1.2 – 2.4 Chemnitzer FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chemnitzer FC to win✓
62%
1.61
1.51
Double chance
Chemnitzer FC or draw✓
84%
1.18
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.72 ▲
Draw no bet
Chemnitzer FC (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Chemnitzer FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.69
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.25
First team to score
Chemnitzer FC to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Chemnitzer FC ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chemnitzer FC / FT Chemnitzer FC✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.45
–
Recent results
Tasmania Berlin – last 6
WWLLDL
24 Oct
@ RSV Eintracht
2–1
W
16 Oct
vs SV Babelsberg 03
6–0
W
9 Oct
@ FSV Zwickau
0–2
L
25 Sep
vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1–5
L
19 Sep
@ BFC Preussen
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs BSG Chemie Leipzig
2–5
L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chemnitzer FC – last 6
LDWWWL
24 Oct
vs Magdeburg II
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ BFC Dynamo
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
3–1
W
26 Sep
@ RSV Eintracht
4–0
W
20 Sep
@ BSG Chemie Leipzig
3–1
W
16 Sep
vs SV Babelsberg 03
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tasmania Berlin and Chemnitzer FC.
What is the prediction for Tasmania Berlin vs Chemnitzer FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs Chemnitzer FC?
On our numbers Tasmania Berlin have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chemnitzer FC 62%.
How many goals will there be in Tasmania Berlin vs Chemnitzer FC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tasmania Berlin vs Chemnitzer FC?
Our predicted score is Tasmania Berlin 1–2 Chemnitzer FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Tasmania Berlin vs Chemnitzer FC?
Tasmania Berlin vs Chemnitzer FC (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
