Chorley 32%Draw 21%Spalding United 47%Expected goals 1.30 – 1.61
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultSpalding United to win ✗47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Chorley vs Spalding United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spalding United travel to face Chorley on Saturday 26 September in the National League North, with Victory Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Chorley are 13th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Spalding United are 12th (upper half) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chorley, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rylands, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Spalding United, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Hanley Town, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Spalding United, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Chorley.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chorley 1.3 xG, Spalding United 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chorley 32%, draw 21%, Spalding United 47%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chorley 1–1 Spalding United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chorley32%fair 3.08 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Spalding United47%fair 2.15 · @2.25
2.91Expected goals
1.30Chorley xG
1.61Spalding United xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Chorley 1.3 – 1.6 Spalding United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spalding United to win✗
47%
2.15
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Draw no bet
Spalding United (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Chorley +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
First team to score
Spalding United to score first
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spalding United / FT Spalding United✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.88
–
Recent results
Chorley – last 6
WLWLDD
19 Sep
@ Rylands
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ King's Lynn Town
0–2
L
8 Sep
vs Darlington 1883
5–2
W
5 Sep
@ Oxford City
0–4
L
31 Aug
vs Brackley Town
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Merthyr Town
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Spalding United – last 6
WWWWDW
19 Sep
vs Hanley Town
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Bedford Town
2–1
W
8 Sep
@ Spennymoor Town
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Southport
2–0
W
31 Aug
@ South Shields
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Worksop Town
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chorley and Spalding United.
What is the prediction for Chorley vs Spalding United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Chorley vs Spalding United?
On our numbers Chorley have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Spalding United 47%.
How many goals will there be in Chorley vs Spalding United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chorley vs Spalding United?
Our predicted score is Chorley 1–1 Spalding United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Chorley vs Spalding United?
Chorley vs Spalding United (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Victory Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
