Oxford City 44%Draw 20%Morecambe 35%Expected goals 1.46 – 1.27
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultOxford City to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Oxford City vs Morecambe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Morecambe travel to face Oxford City on Saturday 26 September in the National League North, with RAW Charging Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Oxford City are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 15 matches; Morecambe are 9th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
Oxford City, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Dorchester Town, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Morecambe, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Southport, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Morecambe, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Oxford City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oxford City 1.5 xG, Morecambe 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oxford City 44%, draw 20%, Morecambe 35%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oxford City 1–1 Morecambe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oxford City44%fair 2.25 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Morecambe35%fair 2.82 · @2.88
2.73Expected goals
1.46Oxford City xG
1.27Morecambe xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Oxford City 1.5 – 1.3 Morecambe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oxford City to win✗
44%
2.25
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Draw no bet
Oxford City (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Morecambe +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
First team to score
Oxford City to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oxford City / FT Oxford City✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.31
–
Recent results
Oxford City – last 6
WWLWWL
19 Sep
@ Dorchester Town
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Radcliffe
3–0
W
8 Sep
@ AFC Telford United
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Chorley
4–0
W
31 Aug
@ Worksop Town
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Buxton
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Morecambe – last 6
WWLWWW
19 Sep
vs Southport
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Brackley Town
3–0
W
8 Sep
@ Southport
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Buxton
4–0
W
31 Aug
@ Chester
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs AFC Telford United
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oxford City and Morecambe.
What is the prediction for Oxford City vs Morecambe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Oxford City vs Morecambe?
On our numbers Oxford City have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Morecambe 35%.
How many goals will there be in Oxford City vs Morecambe?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oxford City vs Morecambe?
Our predicted score is Oxford City 1–1 Morecambe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Oxford City vs Morecambe?
Oxford City vs Morecambe (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at RAW Charging Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
