Value bet: Spennymoor Town to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSouthport to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Southport vs Spennymoor Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Southport welcome Spennymoor Town to Haig Avenue for a National League North fixture on Saturday 26 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Southport are 23rd, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 15 matches; Spennymoor Town are 24th (in the drop zone) with 10. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Southport, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Morecambe, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Spennymoor Town, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over AFC Emley, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended Southport 2–0 Spennymoor Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Southport 1.6 xG, Spennymoor Town 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Southport 42%, draw 21%, Spennymoor Town 37%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Spennymoor Town to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Southport 1–1 Spennymoor Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Southport42%fair 2.40 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Spennymoor Town37%fair 2.70 · @2.88
3.17Expected goals
1.64Southport xG
1.53Spennymoor Town xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Southport 1.6 – 1.5 Spennymoor Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Southport vs Spennymoor Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Southport vs Spennymoor Town?
On our numbers Southport have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Spennymoor Town 37%.
How many goals will there be in Southport vs Spennymoor Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southport vs Spennymoor Town?
Our predicted score is Southport 1–1 Spennymoor Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Southport vs Spennymoor Town?
Southport vs Spennymoor Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Haig Avenue.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
