South Shields 44%Draw 21%Buxton 35%Expected goals 1.62 – 1.41
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultSouth Shields to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.19
South Shields vs Buxton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the National League North brings South Shields against Buxton at Wolf Competitions Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, South Shields are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 15 matches; Buxton are 7th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
South Shields, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Witton Albion, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Buxton, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ashton United, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Buxton, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for South Shields.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give South Shields 1.6 xG, Buxton 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – South Shields 44%, draw 21%, Buxton 35%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Shields 1–1 Buxton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
South Shields44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.60
Buxton35%fair 2.85 · @3.00
3.03Expected goals
1.62South Shields xG
1.41Buxton xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: South Shields 1.6 – 1.4 Buxton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Shields to win✓
44%
2.26
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.53
Draw no bet
South Shields (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Buxton +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
First team to score
South Shields to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Shields / FT South Shields✓
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
South Shields – last 6
WLWWDD
19 Sep
vs Witton Albion
7–0
W
12 Sep
@ Hereford
0–6
L
8 Sep
vs Marine
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Hednesford Town
1–0
W
31 Aug
vs Spalding United
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Merthyr Town
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Buxton – last 6
WWWLWW
19 Sep
vs Ashton United
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Chester
3–1
W
8 Sep
vs Brackley Town
5–0
W
5 Sep
@ Morecambe
0–4
L
31 Aug
vs Merthyr Town
2–1
W
28 Aug
@ Oxford City
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Shields and Buxton.
What is the prediction for South Shields vs Buxton?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win South Shields vs Buxton?
On our numbers South Shields have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Buxton 35%.
How many goals will there be in South Shields vs Buxton?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Shields vs Buxton?
Our predicted score is South Shields 1–1 Buxton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is South Shields vs Buxton?
South Shields vs Buxton (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Wolf Competitions Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
