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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Buxton v Worksop Town: numbers & prediction

Buxton

LLLWW
2–2
FT
Buxton 60%Draw 21%Worksop Town 19% Expected goals 1.98 – 1.02
81%
Betarazi pick

Buxton or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultBuxton to win ✗60% · @1.67
Double chanceBuxton or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.04

Buxton vs Worksop Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the National League North brings Buxton against Worksop Town. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Buxton are 7th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Worksop Town are 14th (lower half) with 20.

Current form

Buxton, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to King's Lynn Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Worksop Town, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Morecambe, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Worksop Town 1–2 Buxton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Buxton 2.0 xG, Worksop Town 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Buxton 60%, draw 21%, Worksop Town 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Buxton or draw (81%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Buxton or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buxton 1–1 Worksop Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Buxton60%fair 1.66 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.70
Worksop Town19%fair 5.26 · @4.20
3.00Expected goals
1.98Buxton xG
1.02Worksop Town xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Buxton 2.0 – 1.0 Worksop Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBuxton to win ✗60%1.661.67
Double chanceBuxton or draw ✓81%1.231.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.57
Draw no betBuxton (draw no bet)76%1.32–
Asian handicapWorksop Town +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreBuxton to score first ✗63%1.59–
Half-time resultBuxton ahead at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Buxton / FT Buxton ✗38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.04–

Recent results

Buxton – last 6

LLLWWW
10 Oct@ King's Lynn Town0–1L
3 Octvs South Shields0–2L
26 Sep@ South Shields0–4L
19 Sepvs Ashton United1–0W
12 Sepvs Chester3–1W
8 Sepvs Brackley Town5–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Worksop Town – last 6

WLLWDW
10 Octvs Morecambe2–1W
3 Octvs United of Manchester0–3L
26 Sep@ Chester1–4L
22 Sepvs AFC Telford United5–2W
19 Sep@ AFC Telford United2–2D
12 Sepvs Southport2–0W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026Worksop Town v Buxton1–2
Buxton vs Worksop Town head-to-head page →

National League North table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1South Shields151023+1032
2Hereford16934+1430
3Oxford City15843+1528
4Macclesfield13832+1027
5Hednesford Town16835+827
6King's Lynn Town16835+627
7Buxton16835+527
8Chester15825+426
9Morecambe16736+524
10Bedford Town14716-222
11AFC Telford United16646-422
12Spalding United15636+321
13Chorley15627-120
14Worksop Town15627-120
15Hebburn Town15555-820
16Marine15618019
17Merthyr Town16475-119
18Brackley Town16547-919
19Harborough Town14455-417
20Scarborough Athletic16448-316
21Radcliffe15519-816
22Darlington 1883163310-912
23Southport15249-1510
24Spennymoor Town15249-1510

More National League North predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Buxton vs Worksop Town?

Our pick is Buxton or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Buxton vs Worksop Town?

On our numbers Buxton have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Worksop Town 19%.

How many goals will there be in Buxton vs Worksop Town?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Buxton vs Worksop Town?

Our predicted score is Buxton 1–1 Worksop Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Buxton vs Worksop Town?

Buxton vs Worksop Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.