Merthyr Town 37%Draw 22%King's Lynn Town 41%Expected goals 1.34 – 1.43
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: King's Lynn Town to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKing's Lynn Town to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.61
Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
King's Lynn Town travel to face Merthyr Town on Saturday 17 October in the National League North – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Merthyr Town are 17th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; King's Lynn Town are 6th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
Merthyr Town, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Darlington 1883, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
King's Lynn Town, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Buxton, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours King's Lynn Town, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Merthyr Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Merthyr Town 1.3 xG, King's Lynn Town 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Merthyr Town 37%, draw 22%, King's Lynn Town 41%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: King's Lynn Town to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Merthyr Town 1–1 King's Lynn Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Merthyr Town37%fair 2.72 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
King's Lynn Town41%fair 2.42 · @2.70
2.77Expected goals
1.34Merthyr Town xG
1.43King's Lynn Town xG
63%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Merthyr Town 1.3 – 1.4 King's Lynn Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
King's Lynn Town to win✗
41%
2.42
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.55
Draw no bet
King's Lynn Town (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Merthyr Town +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
King's Lynn Town to score first✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT King's Lynn Town / FT King's Lynn Town✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
Merthyr Town – last 6
DLLDDW
10 Oct
@ Darlington 1883
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Marine
1–2
L
22 Sep
@ Truro City
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Truro City
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Scarborough Athletic
0–0
D
8 Sep
@ Chester
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
King's Lynn Town – last 6
WWLWLW
10 Oct
vs Buxton
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ AFC Telford United
5–0
W
19 Sep
@ Bedford Town
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Chorley
2–0
W
8 Sep
vs Hednesford Town
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Darlington 1883
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Merthyr Town and King's Lynn Town.
What is the prediction for Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town?
On our numbers Merthyr Town have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and King's Lynn Town 41%.
How many goals will there be in Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town?
Our predicted score is Merthyr Town 1–1 King's Lynn Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town?
Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
