Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultBuxton to win ✓42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Chorley vs Buxton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the National League North brings Chorley against Buxton at Victory Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Chorley are 13th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Buxton are 7th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
Chorley, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Worcester City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Buxton, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Worksop Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chorley, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Buxton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chorley 1.6 xG, Buxton 1.8 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chorley 35%, draw 22%, Buxton 42%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chorley 1–1 Buxton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chorley35%fair 2.85 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.25
Buxton42%fair 2.36 · @2.25
3.35Expected goals
1.59Chorley xG
1.76Buxton xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Chorley 1.6 – 1.8 Buxton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buxton to win✓
42%
2.36
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Draw no bet
Buxton (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Chorley +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Buxton to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buxton / FT Buxton✓
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.56
–
Recent results
Chorley – last 6
DWWWWL
17 Oct
vs Worcester City
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs AFC Telford United
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ Barton Town Old Boys
4–1
W
26 Sep
vs Spalding United
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Rylands
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ King's Lynn Town
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Buxton – last 6
DLLLWW
17 Oct
vs Worksop Town
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ King's Lynn Town
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs South Shields
0–2
L
26 Sep
@ South Shields
0–4
L
19 Sep
vs Ashton United
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Chester
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chorley and Buxton.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Chorley vs Buxton?
On our numbers Chorley have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Buxton 42%.
How many goals will there be in Chorley vs Buxton?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chorley vs Buxton?
Our predicted score is Chorley 1–1 Buxton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Chorley vs Buxton?
Chorley vs Buxton (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Victory Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
