Harborough Town 59%Draw 21%Worksop Town 21%Expected goals 1.62 – 0.81
79%
Betarazi pick
Harborough Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Harborough Town to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHarborough Town to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceHarborough Town or draw ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69
Harborough Town vs Worksop Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the National League North brings Harborough Town against Worksop Town. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Harborough Town are 19th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Worksop Town are 14th (lower half) with 20. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Harborough Town, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Spennymoor Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Worksop Town, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Buxton, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Harborough Town, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Worksop Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Harborough Town 1.6 xG, Worksop Town 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Harborough Town 59%, draw 21%, Worksop Town 21%.
Lower-risk option: Harborough Town or draw (79%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Harborough Town to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Harborough Town or draw (79%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.26, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Harborough Town 1–0 Worksop Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Harborough Town59%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Worksop Town21%fair 4.85 · @3.40
2.43Expected goals
1.62Harborough Town xG
0.81Worksop Town xG
59%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–012%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Harborough Town 1.6 – 0.8 Worksop Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Harborough Town to win✗
59%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Harborough Town or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Draw no bet
Harborough Town (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Worksop Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Harborough Town to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Harborough Town / FT Harborough Town✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
Harborough Town – last 6
WWWLWD
17 Oct
vs Spennymoor Town
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Southport
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs St Albans City
3–2
W
26 Sep
@ Macclesfield
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Rushall Olympic
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs AFC Telford United
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Worksop Town – last 6
DWLLWD
17 Oct
@ Buxton
2–2
D
10 Oct
vs Morecambe
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs United of Manchester
0–3
L
26 Sep
@ Chester
1–4
L
22 Sep
vs AFC Telford United
5–2
W
19 Sep
@ AFC Telford United
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harborough Town and Worksop Town.
What is the prediction for Harborough Town vs Worksop Town?
Our pick is Harborough Town or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Harborough Town vs Worksop Town?
On our numbers Harborough Town have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Worksop Town 21%.
How many goals will there be in Harborough Town vs Worksop Town?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harborough Town vs Worksop Town?
Our predicted score is Harborough Town 1–0 Worksop Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Harborough Town vs Worksop Town?
Harborough Town vs Worksop Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
