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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dover v Tonbridge Angels: numbers & prediction

National League South · England · Crabble Athletic Ground

Dover

WLDDW
0–1
FT
Dover 32%Draw 21%Tonbridge Angels 47% Expected goals 1.62 – 1.98
83%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultTonbridge Angels to win ✓47% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.53

Dover vs Tonbridge Angels: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tonbridge Angels travel to face Dover on Tuesday 18 August in the National League South, with Crabble Athletic Ground the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Dover are 13th, lower half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Tonbridge Angels are 10th (upper half) with 24. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Dover, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 5–3 win over Slough Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Tonbridge Angels, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Torquay, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended Dover 2–0 Tonbridge Angels.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dover 1.6 xG, Tonbridge Angels 2.0 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dover 32%, draw 21%, Tonbridge Angels 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dover 1–1 Tonbridge Angels. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dover32%fair 3.11 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.45
Tonbridge Angels47%fair 2.15 · @2.20
3.60Expected goals
1.62Dover xG
1.98Tonbridge Angels xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
1–36%
0–15%

From our goals model: Dover 1.6 – 2.0 Tonbridge Angels expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTonbridge Angels to win ✓47%2.152.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.571.53
Draw no betTonbridge Angels (draw no bet) ✓59%1.69–
Asian handicapDover +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.211.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.581.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.731.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.42–
First team to scoreTonbridge Angels to score first ✓53%1.87–
Half-time resultTonbridge Angels ahead at half-time ✗37%2.72–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tonbridge Angels / FT Tonbridge Angels ✗29%3.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.53–

Recent results

Dover – last 6

WLDDWW
15 Augvs Slough Town5–3W
8 Aug@ Billericay Town0–2L
1 Augvs Carshalton Athletic1–1D
28 Julvs Herne Bay2–2D
25 Julvs Burgess Hill Town1–0W
21 Julvs Deal Town2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tonbridge Angels – last 6

LWWLWD
15 Augvs Torquay1–2L
8 Aug@ Braintree4–0W
28 Julvs Eastbourne Borough4–2W
14 Julvs Sutton Utd0–2L
11 Julvs Biggleswade1–0W
6 Apr@ Eastbourne Borough1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Mar 2026Dover v Tonbridge Angels2–0
Dover vs Tonbridge Angels head-to-head page →

National League South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ebbsfleet United161051+2635
2Maidstone Utd161024+932
3Salisbury15942+1731
4Truro City14932+1530
5Farnham Town16925+1229
6Dorking Wanderers15762+1127
7Billericay Town14752+1626
8Chelmsford City165101+825
9Dagenham & Redbridge16745+225
10Tonbridge Angels16736+924
11Torquay15654+723
12Horsham16574+422
13Dover14644+122
14Weston-super-Mare15636+321
15Folkestone Invicta15555+420
16AFC Totton16619-1219
17Farnborough16529-2017
18Maidenhead16376-516
19Braintree165110-1816
20Hemel Hempstead Town17368-1115
21Chesham United153210-1311
22Hampton & Richmond162410-1810
23Walton & Hersham152211-258
24Slough Town162113-227

More National League South predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dover vs Tonbridge Angels?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Dover vs Tonbridge Angels?

On our numbers Dover have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tonbridge Angels 47%.

How many goals will there be in Dover vs Tonbridge Angels?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dover vs Tonbridge Angels?

Our predicted score is Dover 1–1 Tonbridge Angels, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Dover vs Tonbridge Angels?

Dover vs Tonbridge Angels (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Crabble Athletic Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.