Hemel Hempstead Town 44%Draw 23%Maidenhead 34%Expected goals 1.09 – 0.90
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultHemel Hempstead Town to win ✗44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.63
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 18 August: Hemel Hempstead Town v Maidenhead in the National League South. In the table, Hemel Hempstead Town are 20th, lower half, on 15 points after 17 matches; Maidenhead are 18th (lower half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hemel Hempstead Town, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Farnborough, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Maidenhead, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dorking Wanderers, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Hemel Hempstead Town, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Maidenhead.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hemel Hempstead Town 1.1 xG, Maidenhead 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hemel Hempstead Town 44%, draw 23%, Maidenhead 34%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hemel Hempstead Town 1–0 Maidenhead. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hemel Hempstead Town44%fair 2.28 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.20
Maidenhead34%fair 2.98 · @3.10
1.99Expected goals
1.09Hemel Hempstead Town xG
0.90Maidenhead xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Hemel Hempstead Town 1.1 – 0.9 Maidenhead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hemel Hempstead Town to win✗
44%
2.28
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Draw no bet
Hemel Hempstead Town (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Maidenhead +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Hemel Hempstead Town to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hemel Hempstead Town / FT Hemel Hempstead Town✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.63
–
Recent results
Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6
WDDLLD
15 Aug
@ Farnborough
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Chelmsford City
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ St Albans City
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Wealdstone
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Barnet
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Enfield Town
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Maidenhead – last 6
DLLDLL
15 Aug
vs Dorking Wanderers
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Truro City
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Brackley Town
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Wimborne Town
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Wolves
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Southampton U21
1–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hemel Hempstead Town and Maidenhead.
What is the prediction for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead?
On our numbers Hemel Hempstead Town have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Maidenhead 34%.
How many goals will there be in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead?
Our predicted score is Hemel Hempstead Town 1–0 Maidenhead, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead?
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
