Chelmsford City 59%Draw 22%Horsham 19%Expected goals 1.69 – 0.83
81%
Betarazi pick
Chelmsford City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Chelmsford City to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChelmsford City to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chanceChelmsford City or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Chelmsford City vs Horsham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chelmsford City welcome Horsham to Melbourne Stadium for a National League South fixture on Saturday 26 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Chelmsford City are 8th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Horsham are 12th (upper half) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chelmsford City, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Canvey Island, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Horsham, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Walton & Hersham, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelmsford City 1.7 xG, Horsham 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelmsford City 59%, draw 22%, Horsham 19%.
Lower-risk option: Chelmsford City or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Chelmsford City to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chelmsford City or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelmsford City 1–0 Horsham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelmsford City59%fair 1.70 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.40
Horsham19%fair 5.21 · @3.70
2.52Expected goals
1.69Chelmsford City xG
0.83Horsham xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Chelmsford City 1.7 – 0.8 Horsham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelmsford City to win✗
59%
1.70
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Chelmsford City or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.73
Draw no bet
Chelmsford City (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Horsham +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.12
First team to score
Chelmsford City to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelmsford City / FT Chelmsford City✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Chelmsford City – last 6
WDDDDW
19 Sep
@ Canvey Island
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Hampton & Richmond
1–1
D
8 Sep
@ Dorking Wanderers
3–3
D
5 Sep
vs Salisbury
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Weston-super-Mare
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Maidenhead
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Horsham – last 6
WLDDLW
19 Sep
@ Walton & Hersham
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Chesham United
1–4
L
8 Sep
@ Folkestone Invicta
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Dagenham & Redbridge
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Farnham Town
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Braintree
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelmsford City and Horsham.
What is the prediction for Chelmsford City vs Horsham?
Our pick is Chelmsford City or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Chelmsford City vs Horsham?
On our numbers Chelmsford City have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Horsham 19%.
How many goals will there be in Chelmsford City vs Horsham?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelmsford City vs Horsham?
Our predicted score is Chelmsford City 1–0 Horsham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chelmsford City vs Horsham?
Chelmsford City vs Horsham (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Melbourne Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
