Chesham United 47%Draw 20%Maidenhead 33%Expected goals 1.61 – 1.31
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultChesham United to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Chesham United vs Maidenhead: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maidenhead travel to face Chesham United on Saturday 26 September in the National League South, with The Meadow the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Chesham United are 21st, lower half, on 11 points after 15 matches; Maidenhead are 18th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Chesham United, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 7–2 win over Ware, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.
Maidenhead, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Ebbsfleet United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chesham United, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Maidenhead.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chesham United 1.6 xG, Maidenhead 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chesham United 47%, draw 20%, Maidenhead 33%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesham United 1–1 Maidenhead. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chesham United47%fair 2.14 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.60
Maidenhead33%fair 3.00 · @2.75
2.92Expected goals
1.61Chesham United xG
1.31Maidenhead xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Chesham United 1.6 – 1.3 Maidenhead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesham United to win✗
47%
2.14
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.53
Draw no bet
Chesham United (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Maidenhead +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
First team to score
Chesham United to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesham United / FT Chesham United✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Chesham United – last 6
WWLLDW
19 Sep
vs Ware
7–2
W
12 Sep
@ Horsham
4–1
W
8 Sep
vs Billericay Town
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Truro City
1–3
L
31 Aug
vs Dover
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ AFC Totton
4–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Maidenhead – last 6
LDLWDL
19 Sep
vs Ebbsfleet United
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Billericay Town
2–2
D
8 Sep
vs Torquay
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Dover
3–0
W
31 Aug
vs AFC Totton
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Chelmsford City
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesham United and Maidenhead.
What is the prediction for Chesham United vs Maidenhead?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Chesham United vs Maidenhead?
On our numbers Chesham United have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Maidenhead 33%.
How many goals will there be in Chesham United vs Maidenhead?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesham United vs Maidenhead?
Our predicted score is Chesham United 1–1 Maidenhead, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Chesham United vs Maidenhead?
Chesham United vs Maidenhead (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Meadow.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
