Maidstone Utd v Maidenhead Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMaidstone Utd to win ✓40% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.15

Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Maidstone Utd v Maidenhead in the National League South, played at Gallagher Stadium. In the table, Maidstone Utd are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Maidenhead are 18th (lower half) with 16. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Maidstone Utd, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Horsham, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Maidenhead, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tonbridge Angels, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Maidstone Utd 1.3 xG, Maidenhead 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Maidstone Utd 40%, draw 22%, Maidenhead 38%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Maidenhead to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maidstone Utd 1–1 Maidenhead. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Maidstone Utd40%fair 2.48 · @2.15

Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30

Maidenhead38%fair 2.62 · @2.90

2.55Expected goals

1.30Maidstone Utd xG

1.25Maidenhead xG

61%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–010%

0–110%

2–18%

1–28%

0–08%

From our goals model: Maidstone Utd 1.3 – 1.3 Maidenhead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Maidstone Utd to win ✓	40%	2.48	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.28	1.29
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	61%	1.64	1.57
Draw no bet	Maidstone Utd (draw no bet) ✓	51%	1.95	–
Asian handicap	Maidenhead +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	72%	1.38	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.88	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	88%	1.13	–
First team to score	Maidstone Utd to score first ✓	47%	2.13	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.29	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Maidstone Utd / FT Maidstone Utd ✓	22%	4.61	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	8%	12.15	–

Maidstone Utd – last 6

WLLDLW

10 Oct	@ Horsham	2–1	W
26 Sep	vs Truro City	1–2	L
22 Sep	vs Cray Wanderers	0–2	L
19 Sep	@ Cray Wanderers	1–1	D
12 Sep	@ Braintree	1–2	L
8 Sep	@ Tonbridge Angels	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Maidenhead – last 6

LWLDLW

10 Oct	vs Tonbridge Angels	0–1	L
26 Sep	@ Chesham United	4–0	W
19 Sep	vs Ebbsfleet United	1–3	L
12 Sep	vs Billericay Town	2–2	D
8 Sep	vs Torquay	0–4	L
5 Sep	@ Dover	3–0	W

1.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Team

Pts

+26

+17

+15

+12

+11

+16

-12

-20

-5

-18

-11

-13

-18

-25

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?

On our numbers Maidstone Utd have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maidenhead 38%.

How many goals will there be in Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?

Our predicted score is Maidstone Utd 1–1 Maidenhead, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?

Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gallagher Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Maidstone Utd v Maidenhead: numbers & prediction