Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Bristol Rovers to win @ 1.82 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBristol Rovers to win ✗62% · @1.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chelsea U21 travel to face Bristol Rovers on Tuesday 25 August in the EFL Trophy, with Memorial Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Bristol Rovers are 1st on 8 points after 3 matches; Chelsea U21 are 4th with 1.
Current form
Bristol Rovers, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 5–3 win over Newport County, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Chelsea U21, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to AFC Bournemouth U21, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bristol Rovers 2.1 xG, Chelsea U21 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bristol Rovers 62%, draw 17%, Chelsea U21 21%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Bristol Rovers to win @1.82 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bristol Rovers 2–1 Chelsea U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bristol Rovers62%fair 1.61 · @1.82
Draw17%fair 5.96 · @3.85
Chelsea U2121%fair 4.77 · @3.55
3.22Expected goals
2.12Bristol Rovers xG
1.11Chelsea U21 xG
65%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Bristol Rovers 2.1 – 1.1 Chelsea U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol Rovers to win✗
62%
1.61
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Draw no bet
Bristol Rovers (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Bristol Rovers -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
First team to score
Bristol Rovers to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Bristol Rovers ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Bristol Rovers – last 6
WLLDDL
22 Aug
vs Newport County
5–3
W
15 Aug
@ York
2–3
L
8 Aug
vs Peterborough
0–1
L
21 Jul
@ Forest Green
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Portsmouth
1–1
D
14 Jul
vs Leicester
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chelsea U21 – last 6
LDLLWW
21 Aug
@ AFC Bournemouth U21
1–2
L
21 Jul
vs Cardiff City U21
0–0
D
1 May
vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
1–3
L
10 Apr
@ Fulham U21
1–2
L
20 Mar
@ Wolves U21
4–0
W
9 Mar
@ Birmingham City U21
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bristol Rovers and Chelsea U21.
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21?
On our numbers Bristol Rovers have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Chelsea U21 21%.
How many goals will there be in Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21?
Our predicted score is Bristol Rovers 2–1 Chelsea U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21?
Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Memorial Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
