Nova Iguaçu 52%Draw 27%América RJ 21%Expected goals 1.37 – 0.88
60%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultNova Iguaçu to win ✗52% · @1.67
Double chanceNova Iguaçu or draw ✓79% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.91
Nova Iguaçu vs América RJ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 22 July the Copa Rio brings Nova Iguaçu against América RJ at Estádio Janio Moraes. Kick-off: 18:45 WAT.
Current form
Nova Iguaçu, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over América RJ, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
América RJ, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nova Iguaçu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nova Iguaçu, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for América RJ.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Jul 2026) it ended América RJ 0–1 Nova Iguaçu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nova Iguaçu 1.4 xG, América RJ 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 42%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nova Iguaçu 52%, draw 27%, América RJ 21%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nova Iguaçu 1–0 América RJ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nova Iguaçu52%fair 1.92 · @1.67
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.50
América RJ21%fair 4.70 · @4.50
2.25Expected goals
1.37Nova Iguaçu xG
0.88América RJ xG
42%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Nova Iguaçu 1.4 – 0.9 América RJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nova Iguaçu vs América RJ?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Nova Iguaçu vs América RJ?
On our numbers Nova Iguaçu have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and América RJ 21%.
How many goals will there be in Nova Iguaçu vs América RJ?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nova Iguaçu vs América RJ?
Our predicted score is Nova Iguaçu 1–0 América RJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Nova Iguaçu vs América RJ?
Nova Iguaçu vs América RJ (Copa Rio) kicks off on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Janio Moraes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Rio · Brazil · Estádio Janio Moraes
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