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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bangu v Olaria: numbers & prediction

Copa Rio · Brazil · Estádio Moça Bonita

Bangu

LDWL
1–1
FT

Olaria

WLLWW
Bangu 10%Draw 21%Olaria 69% Expected goals 0.63 – 2.01
69%
Betarazi pick

Olaria to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultOlaria to win ✗69% · @1.42
Double chanceOlaria or draw ✓90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗10% · fair 10.39

Bangu vs Olaria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bangu welcome Olaria to Estádio Moça Bonita for a Copa Rio fixture on Wednesday 22 July (18:45 WAT).

Current form

Bangu, last 4: LDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Olaria, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Olaria, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bangu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Olaria, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Bangu.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Jul 2026) it ended Olaria 2–0 Bangu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bangu 0.6 xG, Olaria 2.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 41%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bangu 10%, draw 21%, Olaria 69%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Olaria to win (69%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bangu 0–2 Olaria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bangu10%fair 9.87 · @5.50
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.50
Olaria69%fair 1.44 · @1.42
2.64Expected goals
0.63Bangu xG
2.01Olaria xG
41%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–214%
0–114%
0–310%
1–29%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Bangu 0.6 – 2.0 Olaria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOlaria to win ✗69%1.441.42
Double chanceOlaria or draw ✓90%1.111.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗59%1.70–
Draw no betOlaria (draw no bet)87%1.15–
Asian handicapOlaria -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreOlaria to score first ✗71%1.42–
Half-time resultOlaria ahead at half-time ✗49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Olaria / FT Olaria ✗45%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗10%10.39–

Recent results

Bangu – last 4

LDWL
15 Jul@ Olaria0–2L
28 Feb@ Volta Redonda1–1D
21 Febvs Volta Redonda1–0W
16 Feb@ Fluminense1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Olaria – last 6

WLLWWD
15 Julvs Bangu2–0W
4 Julvs Bonsucesso0–1L
28 Jun@ CEAC Araruama0–1L
23 Junvs Duque de Caxias4–0W
20 Junvs Cabofriense1–0W
13 Junvs América RJ2–2D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Jul 2026Olaria v Bangu2–0
Bangu vs Olaria head-to-head page →

More Copa Rio predictions

FT Nova Iguaçu1 América RJ1 152%1.67X27%3.50221%4.50 1.4–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 60%@1.57 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bangu vs Olaria?

Our pick is Olaria to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Bangu vs Olaria?

On our numbers Bangu have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Olaria 69%.

How many goals will there be in Bangu vs Olaria?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bangu vs Olaria?

Our predicted score is Bangu 0–2 Olaria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Bangu vs Olaria?

Bangu vs Olaria (Copa Rio) kicks off on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Moça Bonita.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.