Adana Demirspor v Erbaaspor Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultErbaaspor to win ✓65% · @1.57

Double chanceErbaaspor or draw ✓87% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.09

Adana Demirspor vs Erbaaspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Adana Demirspor v Erbaaspor in the 2. Lig, played at Yeni Adana Stadyumu. In the table, Adana Demirspor are 18th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 10 matches; Erbaaspor are 8th (upper half) with 16. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Adana Demirspor, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Şanlıurfaspor, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Erbaaspor, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Sebat Gençlikspor, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Adana Demirspor 1.2 xG, Erbaaspor 2.6 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Adana Demirspor 13%, draw 22%, Erbaaspor 65%.
Lower-risk option: Erbaaspor or draw (87%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Erbaaspor to win (65%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Adana Demirspor 1–2 Erbaaspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Adana Demirspor13%fair 7.71 · @4.40

Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.90

Erbaaspor65%fair 1.53 · @1.57

3.83Expected goals

1.21Adana Demirspor xG

2.62Erbaaspor xG

64%Both score

74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%

1–38%

0–27%

1–17%

0–37%

0–16%

From our goals model: Adana Demirspor 1.2 – 2.6 Erbaaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Erbaaspor to win ✓	65%	1.53	1.57
Double chance	Erbaaspor or draw ✓	87%	1.15	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	64%	1.56	1.55
Draw no bet	Erbaaspor (draw no bet) ✓	83%	1.20	–
Asian handicap	Erbaaspor -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	90%	1.12	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	74%	1.36	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	53%	1.88	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	66%	1.51	–
First team to score	Erbaaspor to score first ✓	67%	1.49	–
Half-time result	Erbaaspor ahead at half-time ✓	51%	1.95	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Erbaaspor / FT Erbaaspor ✓	45%	2.20	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.09	–

Adana Demirspor – last 6

DLWLLL

19 Sep	@ Şanlıurfaspor	1–1	D
12 Sep	vs Elazığspor	0–2	L
6 Sep	@ Isparta 32 Spor	2–1	W
1 May	@ İstanbulspor	1–8	L
19 Apr	@ Boluspor	0–6	L
7 Apr	@ Hatayspor	0–4	L

0.7Scored / game

3.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Erbaaspor – last 6

WLDDLL

20 Sep	vs Sebat Gençlikspor	3–2	W
13 Sep	@ Ankaraspor	1–2	L
6 Sep	vs Muş Sport Klübü	4–4	D
19 Apr	vs Ankaragücü	1–1	D
12 Apr	@ Elazığspor	0–2	L
8 Apr	vs Adana 01 FK	0–2	L

1.5Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Elazığspor	10	8	1	1	+21	25
2	Güzide Gebzespor	10	7	3	0	+10	24
3	Muş Sport Klübü	10	7	2	1	+16	23
4	Aliağa FAŞ	10	7	1	2	+5	22
5	Çorluspor 1947	10	6	2	2	+9	20
6	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	10	6	1	3	+5	19
7	Şanlıurfaspor	10	5	3	2	+8	18
8	Erbaaspor	10	5	1	4	+5	16
9	Menemen FK	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Sebat Gençlikspor	10	3	3	4	+5	12
11	Ankaraspor	10	4	0	6	-4	12
12	Isparta 32 Spor	10	3	2	5	-5	11
13	Somaspor	10	3	2	5	-7	11
14	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	10	2	3	5	0	9
15	Kastamonuspor	10	2	1	7	-25	4
16	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	10	0	1	9	-17	0
17	Hatayspor	10	1	1	8	-14	0
18	Adana Demirspor	10	2	1	7	-13	0

Team

Pts

+21

+10

+16

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik

-4

-5

-7

68 Aksaray Belediyespor

Kastamonuspor

-25

Arnavutköy Belediyespor

-17

Hatayspor

-14

Adana Demirspor

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Adana Demirspor vs Erbaaspor?

Our pick is Erbaaspor to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Adana Demirspor vs Erbaaspor?

On our numbers Adana Demirspor have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Erbaaspor 65%.

How many goals will there be in Adana Demirspor vs Erbaaspor?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Adana Demirspor vs Erbaaspor?

Our predicted score is Adana Demirspor 1–2 Erbaaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Adana Demirspor vs Erbaaspor?

Adana Demirspor vs Erbaaspor (2. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Yeni Adana Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Adana Demirspor v Erbaaspor: numbers & prediction