Hatayspor v Arnavutköy Belediyespor Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHatayspor to win ✓59% · @1.57

Double chanceHatayspor or draw ✓80% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.65

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.85

Hatayspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hatayspor welcome Arnavutköy Belediyespor to Mersin Stadyumu for a 2. Lig fixture on Sunday 27 September (13:30 WAT). In the table, Hatayspor are 17th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 10 matches; Arnavutköy Belediyespor are 16th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Hatayspor, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kastamonuspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Arnavutköy Belediyespor, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Çorluspor 1947, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hatayspor 1.3 xG, Arnavutköy Belediyespor 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hatayspor 59%, draw 21%, Arnavutköy Belediyespor 20%.
Lower-risk option: Hatayspor or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hatayspor to win (59%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hatayspor 1–0 Arnavutköy Belediyespor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hatayspor59%fair 1.69 · @1.57

Draw21%fair 4.76 · @4.00

Arnavutköy Belediyespor20%fair 5.01 · @4.20

1.83Expected goals

1.28Hatayspor xG

0.55Arnavutköy Belediyespor xG

53%Both score

28%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%

0–016%

2–013%

1–111%

0–19%

2–17%

From our goals model: Hatayspor 1.3 – 0.5 Arnavutköy Belediyespor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Hatayspor to win ✓	59%	1.69	1.57
Double chance	Hatayspor or draw ✓	80%	1.25	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	53%	1.89	1.65
Draw no bet	Hatayspor (draw no bet) ✓	75%	1.34	–
Asian handicap	Arnavutköy Belediyespor +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	55%	1.83	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	72%	1.38	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	89%	1.13	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	96%	1.04	–
First team to score	Hatayspor to score first ✓	59%	1.70	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	51%	1.96	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hatayspor / FT Hatayspor ✗	32%	3.11	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	7%	13.85	–

Hatayspor – last 6

LDLWLD

20 Sep	@ Kastamonuspor	0–1	L
13 Sep	@ Çorluspor 1947	0–0	D
6 Sep	vs Güzide Gebzespor	0–2	L
1 May	vs Vanspor FK	3–1	W
25 Apr	@ Serik Spor	2–4	L
18 Apr	vs Sakaryaspor	1–1	D

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Arnavutköy Belediyespor – last 6

LLLLWD

19 Sep	vs Çorluspor 1947	0–2	L
12 Sep	@ Güzide Gebzespor	0–1	L
6 Sep	vs Aliağa FAŞ	1–4	L
12 Apr	@ Muş Sport Klübü	1–2	L
28 Mar	@ 1461 Trabzon FK	1–0	W
8 Mar	vs Somaspor	0–0	D

0.5Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Elazığspor	10	8	1	1	+21	25
2	Güzide Gebzespor	10	7	3	0	+10	24
3	Muş Sport Klübü	10	7	2	1	+16	23
4	Aliağa FAŞ	10	7	1	2	+5	22
5	Çorluspor 1947	10	6	2	2	+9	20
6	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	10	6	1	3	+5	19
7	Şanlıurfaspor	10	5	3	2	+8	18
8	Erbaaspor	10	5	1	4	+5	16
9	Menemen FK	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Sebat Gençlikspor	10	3	3	4	+5	12
11	Ankaraspor	10	4	0	6	-4	12
12	Isparta 32 Spor	10	3	2	5	-5	11
13	Somaspor	10	3	2	5	-7	11
14	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	10	2	3	5	0	9
15	Kastamonuspor	10	2	1	7	-25	4
16	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	10	0	1	9	-17	0
17	Hatayspor	10	1	1	8	-14	0
18	Adana Demirspor	10	2	1	7	-13	0

Team

Pts

+21

+10

+16

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik

-4

-5

-7

68 Aksaray Belediyespor

Kastamonuspor

-25

Arnavutköy Belediyespor

-17

Hatayspor

-14

Adana Demirspor

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hatayspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?

Our pick is Hatayspor to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Hatayspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?

On our numbers Hatayspor have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arnavutköy Belediyespor 20%.

How many goals will there be in Hatayspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hatayspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?

Our predicted score is Hatayspor 1–0 Arnavutköy Belediyespor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Hatayspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?

Hatayspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor (2. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Mersin Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hatayspor v Arnavutköy Belediyespor: numbers & prediction