Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Pachuca U21 to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPachuca U21 to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chancePachuca U21 or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 13.97
Pachuca U21 vs Cruz Azul U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cruz Azul U21 travel to face Pachuca U21 on Wednesday 21 October in the Liga MX U21 – the ball rolls at 16:15 WAT. In the table, Pachuca U21 are 15th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Cruz Azul U21 are 14th (lower half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pachuca U21, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Monterrey U21, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Cruz Azul U21, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Juarez U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pachuca U21 1.9 xG, Cruz Azul U21 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pachuca U21 62%, draw 20%, Cruz Azul U21 18%.
Lower-risk option: Pachuca U21 or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Pachuca U21 to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pachuca U21 or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pachuca U21 1–0 Cruz Azul U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pachuca U2162%fair 1.60 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.40
Cruz Azul U2118%fair 5.71 · @3.50
2.76Expected goals
1.89Pachuca U21 xG
0.87Cruz Azul U21 xG
46%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Pachuca U21 1.9 – 0.9 Cruz Azul U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pachuca U21 to win✓
62%
1.60
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Pachuca U21 or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Pachuca U21 (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Pachuca U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Pachuca U21 to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Pachuca U21 ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pachuca U21 / FT Pachuca U21✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
13.97
–
Recent results
Pachuca U21 – last 6
DLLWDD
18 Oct
@ Monterrey U21
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs Necaxa U21
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Santos Laguna U21
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Club Tijuana U21
2–1
W
11 Sep
@ Atlante U21
0–0
D
4 Sep
@ Juarez U21
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cruz Azul U21 – last 6
DLLLLW
17 Oct
vs Juarez U21
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ UNAM Pumas U21
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Toluca U21
2–3
L
19 Sep
@ Monterrey U21
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Club America U21
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Santos Laguna U21
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pachuca U21 and Cruz Azul U21.
What is the prediction for Pachuca U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
Our pick is Pachuca U21 or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pachuca U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
On our numbers Pachuca U21 have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cruz Azul U21 18%.
How many goals will there be in Pachuca U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pachuca U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
Our predicted score is Pachuca U21 1–0 Cruz Azul U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pachuca U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
Pachuca U21 vs Cruz Azul U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
