Value bet: UNAM Pumas U21 to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSantos Laguna U21 to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3% · fair 31.14
Santos Laguna U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santos Laguna U21 welcome UNAM Pumas U21 for a Liga MX U21 fixture on Wednesday 21 October (18:00 WAT). In the table, Santos Laguna U21 are 13th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; UNAM Pumas U21 are 12th (lower half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Santos Laguna U21, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Queretaro U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
UNAM Pumas U21, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atlante U21, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours UNAM Pumas U21, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Santos Laguna U21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos Laguna U21 1.4 xG, UNAM Pumas U21 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos Laguna U21 43%, draw 21%, UNAM Pumas U21 36%.
Price worth noting: UNAM Pumas U21 to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos Laguna U21 2–1 UNAM Pumas U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos Laguna U2143%fair 2.35 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
UNAM Pumas U2136%fair 2.79 · @3.00
2.64Expected goals
1.39Santos Laguna U21 xG
1.25UNAM Pumas U21 xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Santos Laguna U21 1.4 – 1.2 UNAM Pumas U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santos Laguna U21 to win✗
43%
2.35
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Santos Laguna U21 (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
UNAM Pumas U21 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Santos Laguna U21 to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santos Laguna U21 / FT Santos Laguna U21✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
3%
31.14
–
Recent results
Santos Laguna U21 – last 6
WDWLDL
17 Oct
vs Queretaro U21
3–1
W
11 Oct
@ Atl. San Luis U21
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs Pachuca U21
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Toluca U21
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Juarez U21
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Cruz Azul U21
0–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
UNAM Pumas U21 – last 6
WWDWDD
16 Oct
@ Atlante U21
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Cruz Azul U21
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Atl. San Luis U21
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Atlas U21
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Guadalajara Chivas U21
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Club Leon U21
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos Laguna U21 and UNAM Pumas U21.
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Santos Laguna U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
On our numbers Santos Laguna U21 have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and UNAM Pumas U21 36%.
How many goals will there be in Santos Laguna U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos Laguna U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
Our predicted score is Santos Laguna U21 2–1 UNAM Pumas U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Santos Laguna U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
Santos Laguna U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
