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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CD Olimpia v Lobos Upnfm: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles
2–0
FT
CD Olimpia 68%Draw 20%Lobos Upnfm 12% Expected goals 2.09 – 0.79
68%
Betarazi pick

CD Olimpia to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCD Olimpia to win ✓68% · @1.25
Double chanceCD Olimpia or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32

CD Olimpia vs Lobos Upnfm: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 3 August the Liga Nacional brings CD Olimpia against Lobos Upnfm at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT. In the table, CD Olimpia are 1st, leading the league, on 33 points after 14 matches; Lobos Upnfm are 6th (upper half) with 19. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

CD Olimpia, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mixco, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Lobos Upnfm, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over CD Motagua, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours CD Olimpia, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Lobos Upnfm.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended CD Olimpia 0–0 Lobos Upnfm.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CD Olimpia 2.1 xG, Lobos Upnfm 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CD Olimpia 68%, draw 20%, Lobos Upnfm 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was CD Olimpia to win (68%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Olimpia 2–0 Lobos Upnfm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CD Olimpia68%fair 1.47 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @5.25
Lobos Upnfm12%fair 8.01 · @9.00
2.88Expected goals
2.09CD Olimpia xG
0.79Lobos Upnfm xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: CD Olimpia 2.1 – 0.8 Lobos Upnfm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCD Olimpia to win ✓68%1.471.25
Double chanceCD Olimpia or draw ✓88%1.141.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.95 ▲
Draw no betCD Olimpia (draw no bet) ✓84%1.18–
Asian handicapCD Olimpia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.741.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
First team to scoreCD Olimpia to score first ✓69%1.46–
Half-time resultCD Olimpia ahead at half-time ✓49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT CD Olimpia / FT CD Olimpia ✓44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

CD Olimpia – last 6

WLLWLW
29 Julvs Mixco2–0W
12 Jul@ Houston Dynamo0–3L
16 May@ CD Marathon0–1L
13 Mayvs Real Espana3–2W
10 May@ Real Espana1–3L
7 Mayvs CD Marathon2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Lobos Upnfm – last 6

WLLDLD
1 Mayvs CD Motagua2–1W
27 Apr@ Juticalpa0–1L
24 Aprvs Génesis0–1L
13 Aprvs Real Espana1–1D
6 Apr@ Victoria2–3L
3 Apr@ CD Olimpia0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026CD Olimpia v Lobos Upnfm0–0
CD Olimpia vs Lobos Upnfm head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CD Olimpia vs Lobos Upnfm?

Our pick is CD Olimpia to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win CD Olimpia vs Lobos Upnfm?

On our numbers CD Olimpia have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lobos Upnfm 12%.

How many goals will there be in CD Olimpia vs Lobos Upnfm?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CD Olimpia vs Lobos Upnfm?

Our predicted score is CD Olimpia 2–0 Lobos Upnfm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is CD Olimpia vs Lobos Upnfm?

CD Olimpia vs Lobos Upnfm (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.