Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOlancho to win ✓49% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Estrella Roja vs Olancho: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 3 August the Liga Nacional brings Estrella Roja against Olancho at Estadio Marcelo Tinoco. Kick-off: 00:15 WAT.
Current form
Olancho, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to CD Motagua, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estrella Roja 1.1 xG, Olancho 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estrella Roja 26%, draw 25%, Olancho 49%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estrella Roja 1–1 Olancho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estrella Roja26%fair 3.89 · @3.55
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.30
Olancho49%fair 2.04 · @1.91
2.56Expected goals
1.09Estrella Roja xG
1.47Olancho xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Estrella Roja 1.1 – 1.5 Olancho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olancho to win✓
49%
2.04
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.83 ▲
Draw no bet
Olancho (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Estrella Roja +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Olancho to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olancho / FT Olancho✓
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Estrella Roja
No recent results on record.
Olancho – last 6
LWLDDW
13 May
vs CD Motagua
0–2
L
10 May
@ CD Motagua
2–1
W
7 May
vs Génesis
1–3
L
1 May
vs Génesis
2–2
D
24 Apr
vs CD Motagua
0–0
D
20 Apr
vs Victoria
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrella Roja and Olancho.
What is the prediction for Estrella Roja vs Olancho?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Estrella Roja vs Olancho?
On our numbers Estrella Roja have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Olancho 49%.
How many goals will there be in Estrella Roja vs Olancho?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrella Roja vs Olancho?
Our predicted score is Estrella Roja 1–1 Olancho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Estrella Roja vs Olancho?
Estrella Roja vs Olancho (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Tinoco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
