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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Estrella Roja v Juticalpa: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras
5–2
FT
Estrella Roja 56%Draw 22%Juticalpa 22% Expected goals 1.69 – 0.93
78%
Betarazi pick

Estrella Roja or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultEstrella Roja to win ✓56% · @1.85
Double chanceEstrella Roja or draw ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34

Estrella Roja vs Juticalpa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Estrella Roja welcome Juticalpa for a Liga Nacional fixture on Sunday 23 August (00:15 WAT).

Current form

Estrella Roja, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Lobos Upnfm, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Juticalpa, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Olancho, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Estrella Roja, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Juticalpa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Estrella Roja 1.7 xG, Juticalpa 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Estrella Roja 56%, draw 22%, Juticalpa 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Estrella Roja or draw (78%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Estrella Roja or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estrella Roja 1–0 Juticalpa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Estrella Roja56%fair 1.78 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.45
Juticalpa22%fair 4.63 · @3.65
2.62Expected goals
1.69Estrella Roja xG
0.93Juticalpa xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Estrella Roja 1.7 – 0.9 Juticalpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEstrella Roja to win ✓56%1.781.85
Double chanceEstrella Roja or draw ✓78%1.281.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.771.67
Draw no betEstrella Roja (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapJuticalpa +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.991.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.411.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.14–
First team to scoreEstrella Roja to score first ✗60%1.67–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Estrella Roja / FT Estrella Roja ✗34%2.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.34–

Recent results

Estrella Roja – last 3

DWL
16 Aug@ Lobos Upnfm2–2D
10 Aug@ CD Motagua2–0W
3 Augvs Olancho0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Juticalpa – last 6

LLLWLL
17 Aug@ Olancho0–1L
9 Augvs CD Olimpia1–3L
2 Augvs CD Motagua0–3L
27 Aprvs Lobos Upnfm1–0W
22 Apr@ Victoria1–2L
20 Apr@ CD Motagua1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Estrella Roja and Juticalpa.

Estrella Roja vs Juticalpa head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estrella Roja vs Juticalpa?

Our pick is Estrella Roja or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Estrella Roja vs Juticalpa?

On our numbers Estrella Roja have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Juticalpa 22%.

How many goals will there be in Estrella Roja vs Juticalpa?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Estrella Roja vs Juticalpa?

Our predicted score is Estrella Roja 1–0 Juticalpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Estrella Roja vs Juticalpa?

Estrella Roja vs Juticalpa (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.