CD Marathon 39%Draw 23%Real Espana 38%Expected goals 1.07 – 1.05
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Real Espana to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCD Marathon to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.86
CD Marathon vs Real Espana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Sunday 23 August: CD Marathon v Real Espana in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal. In the table, CD Marathon are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; Real Espana are 2nd (among the top four) with 29. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
CD Marathon, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Alianza, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Real Espana, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atletico Independiente, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (19 May 2026) it ended Real Espana 1–1 CD Marathon. The last 2 head-to-heads: CD Marathon 0 wins, Real Espana 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Marathon 1.1 xG, Real Espana 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Marathon 39%, draw 23%, Real Espana 38%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Real Espana to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Marathon 1–1 Real Espana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Marathon39%fair 2.57 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Real Espana38%fair 2.63 · @3.00
2.12Expected goals
1.07CD Marathon xG
1.05Real Espana xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: CD Marathon 1.1 – 1.1 Real Espana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs Real Espana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win CD Marathon vs Real Espana?
On our numbers CD Marathon have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Espana 38%.
How many goals will there be in CD Marathon vs Real Espana?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Marathon vs Real Espana?
Our predicted score is CD Marathon 1–1 Real Espana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is CD Marathon vs Real Espana?
CD Marathon vs Real Espana (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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