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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juticalpa v Lobos Upnfm: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas
1–0
FT
Juticalpa 31%Draw 22%Lobos Upnfm 48% Expected goals 1.36 – 1.76
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultLobos Upnfm to win ✗48% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.76

Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Juticalpa v Lobos Upnfm in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. In the table, Juticalpa are 12th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 14 matches; Lobos Upnfm are 6th (upper half) with 19. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Juticalpa, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Estrella Roja, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Lobos Upnfm, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to CD Motagua, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended Juticalpa 1–0 Lobos Upnfm. The last 2 head-to-heads: Juticalpa 1 win, Lobos Upnfm 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juticalpa 1.4 xG, Lobos Upnfm 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juticalpa 31%, draw 22%, Lobos Upnfm 48%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juticalpa 1–1 Lobos Upnfm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juticalpa31%fair 3.25 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.35
Lobos Upnfm48%fair 2.10 · @2.15
3.12Expected goals
1.36Juticalpa xG
1.76Lobos Upnfm xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: Juticalpa 1.4 – 1.8 Lobos Upnfm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLobos Upnfm to win ✗48%2.102.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.65
Draw no betLobos Upnfm (draw no bet) ✗61%1.64–
Asian handicapJuticalpa +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.281.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
First team to scoreLobos Upnfm to score first ✗54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lobos Upnfm / FT Lobos Upnfm ✗29%3.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.76–

Recent results

Juticalpa – last 6

LLLLWL
23 Aug@ Estrella Roja2–5L
17 Aug@ Olancho0–1L
9 Augvs CD Olimpia1–3L
2 Augvs CD Motagua0–3L
27 Aprvs Lobos Upnfm1–0W
22 Apr@ Victoria1–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lobos Upnfm – last 6

LDDLWL
22 Aug@ CD Motagua1–4L
16 Augvs Estrella Roja2–2D
9 Augvs Olancho1–1D
3 Aug@ CD Olimpia0–2L
1 Mayvs CD Motagua2–1W
27 Apr@ Juticalpa0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Apr 2026Juticalpa v Lobos Upnfm1–0
9 Mar 2026Lobos Upnfm v Juticalpa3–2
Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm?

On our numbers Juticalpa have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lobos Upnfm 48%.

How many goals will there be in Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm?

Our predicted score is Juticalpa 1–1 Lobos Upnfm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm?

Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.