Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultCD Marathon to win ✓45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.03
Génesis vs CD Marathon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the Liga Nacional brings Génesis against CD Marathon at Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Génesis are 8th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; CD Marathon are 3rd (among the top four) with 28. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Génesis, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atletico Independiente, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
CD Marathon, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Real Estelí, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended CD Marathon 1–2 Génesis.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Génesis 0.9 xG, CD Marathon 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Génesis 32%, draw 23%, CD Marathon 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Génesis 0–1 CD Marathon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Génesis32%fair 3.10 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
CD Marathon45%fair 2.23 · @2.20
2.12Expected goals
0.94Génesis xG
1.18CD Marathon xG
42%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Génesis 0.9 – 1.2 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Génesis vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Génesis vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers Génesis have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CD Marathon 45%.
How many goals will there be in Génesis vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Génesis vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is Génesis 0–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Génesis vs CD Marathon?
Génesis vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
