Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Super League 1 brings Asteras Tripolis against AEK Athens FC at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Asteras Tripolis are 11th, lower half, on 7 points after 10 matches; AEK Athens FC are 3rd (among the top four) with 20. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Asteras Tripolis, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Aris Thessalonikis, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
AEK Athens FC, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lask Linz, at home. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours AEK Athens FC, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.3 for Asteras Tripolis.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Asteras Tripolis 0.8 xG, AEK Athens FC 2.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Asteras Tripolis 11%, draw 20%, AEK Athens FC 69%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AEK Athens FC to win (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Asteras Tripolis 0–2 AEK Athens FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Asteras Tripolis11%fair 9.37 · @8.00
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @4.40
AEK Athens FC69%fair 1.45 · @1.36
3.00Expected goals
0.78Asteras Tripolis xG
2.22AEK Athens FC xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Asteras Tripolis 0.8 – 2.2 AEK Athens FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEK Athens FC to win✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Double chance
AEK Athens FC or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
AEK Athens FC (draw no bet)
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
AEK Athens FC -1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
AEK Athens FC to score first
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
AEK Athens FC ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEK Athens FC / FT AEK Athens FC✗
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Asteras Tripolis – last 6
DLLLLD
10 Sep
vs Aris Thessalonikis
1–1
D
7 Sep
vs Iraklis 1908
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Panetolikos
1–3
L
18 Aug
@ Levadiakos
0–2
L
31 Jul
@ ADO Den Haag
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
AEK Athens FC – last 6
WWWDWW
8 Sep
vs Lask Linz
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Aris Thessalonikis
5–0
W
2 Sep
@ Nestos Chrisoupolis
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Kifisia
1–1
D
26 Aug
vs Levski Sofia
4–0
W
22 Aug
vs Iraklis 1908
4–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Asteras Tripolis and AEK Athens FC.
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?
Our pick is AEK Athens FC to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?
On our numbers Asteras Tripolis have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AEK Athens FC 69%.
How many goals will there be in Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?
Our predicted score is Asteras Tripolis 0–2 AEK Athens FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?
Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
