Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultPAOK to win ✓65% · @1.50
Double chancePAOK or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52
PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aris Thessalonikis travel to face PAOK on Sunday 13 September in the Super League 1, with Toumba Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, PAOK are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Aris Thessalonikis are 5th (upper half) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
PAOK, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Panathinaikos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Aris Thessalonikis, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Asteras Tripolis, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PAOK 2.7 xG, Aris Thessalonikis 1.3 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PAOK 65%, draw 18%, Aris Thessalonikis 17%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was PAOK to win (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: PAOK 2–1 Aris Thessalonikis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PAOK65%fair 1.55 · @1.50
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @4.00
Aris Thessalonikis17%fair 5.95 · @5.50
4.00Expected goals
2.66PAOK xG
1.34Aris Thessalonikis xG
57%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: PAOK 2.7 – 1.3 Aris Thessalonikis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAOK to win✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Double chance
PAOK or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.85
Draw no bet
PAOK (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
PAOK -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
PAOK to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
PAOK ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PAOK / FT PAOK✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Recent results
PAOK – last 6
LDWLWD
6 Sep
@ Panathinaikos
1–3
L
2 Sep
vs OFI
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Atromitos
2–1
W
27 Aug
@ Brann
2–3
L
23 Aug
vs Levadiakos
4–0
W
20 Aug
vs Brann
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Aris Thessalonikis – last 6
DLWWWL
10 Sep
@ Asteras Tripolis
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ AEK Athens FC
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs OFI
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Kalamata
3–2
W
17 Aug
@ Anagennisi Karditsas
2–0
W
12 Aug
@ Napoli
2–6
L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAOK and Aris Thessalonikis.
What is the prediction for PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Our pick is PAOK to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis?
On our numbers PAOK have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Aris Thessalonikis 17%.
How many goals will there be in PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Our predicted score is PAOK 2–1 Aris Thessalonikis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis?
PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Toumba Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
