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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alloa Athletic v Hibernian U21: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · Recreation Park

Alloa Athletic

LLDDD
4–1
FT

Hibernian U21

LLLL
Alloa Athletic 69%Draw 20%Hibernian U21 11% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.54
69%
Betarazi pick

Alloa Athletic to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlloa Athletic to win ✓69% · @1.22
Double chanceAlloa Athletic or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.91

Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alloa Athletic welcome Hibernian U21 to Recreation Park for a Challenge Cup fixture on Tuesday 22 September (19:45 WAT).

Current form

Alloa Athletic, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to East Kilbride, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Hibernian U21, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Berwick Rangers, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.

Momentum favours Alloa Athletic, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for Hibernian U21.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alloa Athletic 1.8 xG, Hibernian U21 0.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alloa Athletic 69%, draw 20%, Hibernian U21 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Alloa Athletic to win (69%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alloa Athletic 1–0 Hibernian U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alloa Athletic69%fair 1.46 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @5.00
Hibernian U2111%fair 8.95 · @10.00
2.33Expected goals
1.79Alloa Athletic xG
0.54Hibernian U21 xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–016%
0–010%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Alloa Athletic 1.8 – 0.5 Hibernian U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlloa Athletic to win ✓69%1.461.22
Double chanceAlloa Athletic or draw ✓89%1.131.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.871.75
Draw no betAlloa Athletic (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapAlloa Athletic -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗91%1.10–
First team to scoreAlloa Athletic to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultAlloa Athletic ahead at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alloa Athletic / FT Alloa Athletic ✓43%2.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.91–

Recent results

Alloa Athletic – last 6

LLDDDW
19 Sepvs East Kilbride1–2L
12 Sep@ Airdrie United0–1L
8 Sep@ Clydebank1–1D
5 Sep@ Cove Rangers1–1D
29 Augvs Peterhead1–1D
25 Augvs Motherwell U213–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Hibernian U21 – last 4

LLLL
8 Sep@ Berwick Rangers0–1L
25 Aug@ Queen of the South0–1L
11 Aug@ Clydebank0–4L
18 Jul@ Gala Fairydean Rovers0–1L
0.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alloa Athletic and Hibernian U21.

Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21 head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Banks O' Dee2 Aberdeen U211 122%3.10X19%3.75259%1.85 1.5–2.5xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.36 ✓
FT Berwick Rangers3 Stranraer2 122%3.80X21%3.50258%1.73 1.6–2.6xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.44 ✓
FT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic1 Airdrie United6 123%3.30X16%3.50262%1.85 1.0–1.9xG 2Airdrie United to win 62%@1.85 ✓
FT Clachnacuddin1 Ross County5 112%13.00X16%6.50272%1.15 1.1–2.9xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.80 ✓
FT Clyde1 Rangers U212 137%2.00X20%3.60243%2.80 2.0–2.2xG GGBoth teams to score 73%@1.25 ✓
FT Dumbarton3 Kilmarnock II2 160%1.85X18%3.50222%3.30 2.9–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 73%@1.35 ✓
FT East Kilbride3 Celtic II3 166%1.25X19%5.00215%9.00 3.4–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.55 ✓
FT Edinburgh City1 Dundee United II0 168%1.25X19%5.00213%9.50 2.3–0.9xG 1Edinburgh City to win 68%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21?

Our pick is Alloa Athletic to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21?

On our numbers Alloa Athletic have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hibernian U21 11%.

How many goals will there be in Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21?

Our predicted score is Alloa Athletic 1–0 Hibernian U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21?

Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21 (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Recreation Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.