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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alloa Athletic v Gala Fairydean Rovers: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · Recreation Park

Alloa Athletic

WLLDD
2–2
FT

Gala Fairydean Rovers

DLLLL
Alloa Athletic 72%Draw 17%Gala Fairydean Rovers 12% Expected goals 2.62 – 0.99
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 57% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAlloa Athletic to win ✗72% · @1.08
Double chanceAlloa Athletic or draw ✓88% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.87

Alloa Athletic vs Gala Fairydean Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alloa Athletic welcome Gala Fairydean Rovers to Recreation Park for a Challenge Cup fixture on Saturday 26 September (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Alloa Athletic, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Hibernian U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Gala Fairydean Rovers, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Spartans, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Alloa Athletic, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Gala Fairydean Rovers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alloa Athletic 2.6 xG, Gala Fairydean Rovers 1.0 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alloa Athletic 72%, draw 17%, Gala Fairydean Rovers 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.25.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alloa Athletic 2–1 Gala Fairydean Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alloa Athletic72%fair 1.39 · @1.08
Draw17%fair 5.96 · @10.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers12%fair 8.66 · @15.00
3.61Expected goals
2.62Alloa Athletic xG
0.99Gala Fairydean Rovers xG
57%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–09%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%

From our goals model: Alloa Athletic 2.6 – 1.0 Gala Fairydean Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlloa Athletic to win ✗72%1.391.08
Double chanceAlloa Athletic or draw ✓88%1.13–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.742.25 ▲
Draw no betAlloa Athletic (draw no bet)86%1.16–
Asian handicapAlloa Athletic -1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.131.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.391.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓52%1.921.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓66%1.501.50
First team to scoreAlloa Athletic to score first ✗71%1.42–
Half-time resultAlloa Athletic ahead at half-time ✗54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alloa Athletic / FT Alloa Athletic ✗49%2.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.87–

Recent results

Alloa Athletic – last 6

WLLDDD
22 Sepvs Hibernian U214–1W
19 Sepvs East Kilbride1–2L
12 Sep@ Airdrie United0–1L
8 Sep@ Clydebank1–1D
5 Sep@ Cove Rangers1–1D
29 Augvs Peterhead1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Gala Fairydean Rovers – last 6

DLLLLL
22 Sepvs Spartans0–0D
19 Sep@ Tranent Juniors1–2L
16 Sepvs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic1–2L
12 Sep@ Musselburgh Athletic0–2L
8 Sepvs Hearts U211–6L
29 Augvs Lochee United2–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alloa Athletic and Gala Fairydean Rovers.

Alloa Athletic vs Gala Fairydean Rovers head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Airdrie United7 Berwick Rangers1 177%1.12X14%7.5029%15.00 3.0–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Annan Athletic2 Hibernian U211 172%1.22X17%6.00212%8.00 2.4–0.9xG 1Annan Athletic to win 72%@1.22 ✓
FT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic3 Motherwell U210 167%1.38X11%5.50222%4.75 2.6–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓
FT Clachnacuddin3 Celtic II3 136%2.45X18%4.00246%2.20 2.0–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓
FT Cove Rangers2 Aberdeen U211 165%1.57X11%5.00224%3.50 2.6–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Cowdenbeath1 Clyde3 122%3.40X12%4.50265%1.67 1.2–2.3xG 2Clyde to win 65%@1.67 ✓
FT Dumbarton3 Banks O' Dee2 159%1.70X17%4.20224%3.60 2.5–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT East Fife0 Clydebank2 160%1.73X19%4.50221%3.20 2.6–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 76%@1.30 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alloa Athletic vs Gala Fairydean Rovers?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Gala Fairydean Rovers?

On our numbers Alloa Athletic have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Gala Fairydean Rovers 12%.

How many goals will there be in Alloa Athletic vs Gala Fairydean Rovers?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alloa Athletic vs Gala Fairydean Rovers?

Our predicted score is Alloa Athletic 2–1 Gala Fairydean Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Alloa Athletic vs Gala Fairydean Rovers?

Alloa Athletic vs Gala Fairydean Rovers (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Recreation Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.