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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic v Motherwell U21: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · New Dundas Park

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

LWWLL
3–0
FT

Motherwell U21

LLLL
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 67%Draw 11%Motherwell U21 22% Expected goals 2.61 – 1.38
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultBonnyrigg Rose Athletic to win ✓67% · @1.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Motherwell U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic welcome Motherwell U21 to New Dundas Park for a Challenge Cup fixture on Saturday 26 September (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Airdrie United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Motherwell U21, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to East Fife, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for Motherwell U21.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2.6 xG, Motherwell U21 1.4 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 67%, draw 11%, Motherwell U21 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2–1 Motherwell U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic67%fair 1.49 · @1.38
Draw11%fair 8.95 · @5.50
Motherwell U2122%fair 4.61 · @4.75
3.99Expected goals
2.61Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic xG
1.38Motherwell U21 xG
64%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–06%

From our goals model: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2.6 – 1.4 Motherwell U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBonnyrigg Rose Athletic to win ✓67%1.491.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89%1.131.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.561.53
Draw no betBonnyrigg Rose Athletic (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapBonnyrigg Rose Athletic -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.131.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74%1.351.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗53%1.881.83
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓65%1.551.40
First team to scoreBonnyrigg Rose Athletic to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultBonnyrigg Rose Athletic ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic / FT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic ✓43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.49–

Recent results

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic – last 6

LWWLLL
22 Sepvs Airdrie United1–6L
19 Sepvs Stirling University6–1W
16 Sep@ Gala Fairydean Rovers2–1W
12 Sep@ Civil Service Strollers0–2L
8 Sep@ East Kilbride1–3L
29 Augvs Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1–2L
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Motherwell U21 – last 4

LLLL
15 Sep@ East Fife1–4L
8 Sep@ Annan Athletic0–4L
25 Aug@ Alloa Athletic0–3L
11 Aug@ Kelty Hearts3–4L
1.0Scored / game
3.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and Motherwell U21.

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Motherwell U21 head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Airdrie United7 Berwick Rangers1 177%1.12X14%7.5029%15.00 3.0–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Alloa Athletic2 Gala Fairydean Rovers2 172%1.08X17%10.00212%15.00 2.6–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.28 ✓
FT Annan Athletic2 Hibernian U211 172%1.22X17%6.00212%8.00 2.4–0.9xG 1Annan Athletic to win 72%@1.22 ✓
FT Clachnacuddin3 Celtic II3 136%2.45X18%4.00246%2.20 2.0–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓
FT Cove Rangers2 Aberdeen U211 165%1.57X11%5.00224%3.50 2.6–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Cowdenbeath1 Clyde3 122%3.40X12%4.50265%1.67 1.2–2.3xG 2Clyde to win 65%@1.67 ✓
FT Dumbarton3 Banks O' Dee2 159%1.70X17%4.20224%3.60 2.5–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT East Fife0 Clydebank2 160%1.73X19%4.50221%3.20 2.6–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 76%@1.30 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Motherwell U21?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Motherwell U21?

On our numbers Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Motherwell U21 22%.

How many goals will there be in Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Motherwell U21?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Motherwell U21?

Our predicted score is Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2–1 Motherwell U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Motherwell U21?

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Motherwell U21 (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at New Dundas Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.