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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

East Kilbride v Kelty Hearts: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · K-Park Training Academy

East Kilbride

DWLDW
2–1
FT

Kelty Hearts

LWWLL
East Kilbride 63%Draw 21%Kelty Hearts 16% Expected goals 3.57 – 2.03
74%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultEast Kilbride to win ✓63% · @1.40
Double chanceEast Kilbride or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓74% · @1.36
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–2 ✗6% · fair 17.31

East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

East Kilbride welcome Kelty Hearts to K-Park Training Academy for a Challenge Cup fixture on Tuesday 13 October (19:45 WAT).

Current form

East Kilbride, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Airdrie United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Kelty Hearts, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Stirling Albion, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours East Kilbride, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Kelty Hearts.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended East Kilbride 4–0 Kelty Hearts.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give East Kilbride 3.6 xG, Kelty Hearts 2.0 xG – a total near 5.6. That is an open game on paper: 92% for three or more goals, 74% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – East Kilbride 63%, draw 21%, Kelty Hearts 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (74%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (74%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: East Kilbride 3–2 Kelty Hearts. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

East Kilbride63%fair 1.58 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.50
Kelty Hearts16%fair 6.42 · @5.50
5.60Expected goals
3.57East Kilbride xG
2.03Kelty Hearts xG
74%Both score
92%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–26%
3–16%
4–25%
4–15%
2–25%
2–15%

From our goals model: East Kilbride 3.6 – 2.0 Kelty Hearts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEast Kilbride to win ✓63%1.581.40
Double chanceEast Kilbride or draw ✓84%1.181.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓74%1.351.36
Draw no betEast Kilbride (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapEast Kilbride -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓98%1.03–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
First team to scoreEast Kilbride to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultEast Kilbride ahead at half-time ✓53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT East Kilbride / FT East Kilbride ✓46%2.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–2 ✗6%17.31–

Recent results

East Kilbride – last 6

DWLDWW
10 Octvs Airdrie United2–2D
3 Oct@ East Fife3–0W
26 Sep@ Stranraer3–4L
22 Sepvs Celtic II3–3D
19 Sep@ Alloa Athletic2–1W
12 Sepvs Peterhead3–1W
2.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Kelty Hearts – last 6

LWWLLL
10 Oct@ Stirling Albion1–2L
3 Oct@ Spartans2–0W
26 Sepvs Montrose2–1W
22 Sepvs Hearts U213–5L
19 Sepvs Edinburgh City1–3L
12 Sep@ Clyde1–4L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Jun 2026East Kilbride v Kelty Hearts4–0
East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Annan Athletic0 Alloa Athletic0 131%3.00X21%3.30247%2.00 1.4–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
FT Berwick Rangers1 Queen of the South0 116%6.50X19%4.60265%1.35 1.3–2.7xG 2Queen of the South to win 65%@1.35 ✗
FT Clydebank4 Dumbarton0 156%1.75X21%3.50222%3.70 2.6–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.40 ✗
FT Cove Rangers2 Formartine United1 165%1.57X19%3.75216%4.50 2.8–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.50 ✓
FT Elgin City0 Aberdeen U211 165%1.65X19%3.70215%4.00 2.3–1.1xG 1XElgin City or draw 85%@1.20 ✗
FT Peterhead1 Rangers U210 159%1.62X19%3.75221%4.00 2.3–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.44 ✗
FT Ross County2 Forfar Athletic1 175%1.20X15%5.80210%10.00 3.3–1.3xG 1Ross County to win 75%@1.20 ✓
FT Spartans1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic1 164%1.57X24%3.80212%4.40 2.2–1.0xG 1Spartans to win 64%@1.57 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts?

On our numbers East Kilbride have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kelty Hearts 16%.

How many goals will there be in East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts?

We expect about 5.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 92% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts?

Our predicted score is East Kilbride 3–2 Kelty Hearts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.6 goals in total.

When is East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts?

East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at K-Park Training Academy.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.