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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Elgin City v Aberdeen U21: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · Borough Briggs

Elgin City

WWWWL
0–1
FT

Aberdeen U21

LLWDW
Elgin City 65%Draw 19%Aberdeen U21 15% Expected goals 2.34 – 1.06
85%
Betarazi pick

Elgin City or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Elgin City to win @ 1.65 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultElgin City to win ✗65% · @1.65
Double chanceElgin City or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Elgin City vs Aberdeen U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 13 October: Elgin City v Aberdeen U21 in the Challenge Cup, played at Borough Briggs.

Current form

Elgin City, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Forfar Athletic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Aberdeen U21, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cove Rangers, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 6. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Elgin City, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Aberdeen U21.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Elgin City 2.3 xG, Aberdeen U21 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Elgin City 65%, draw 19%, Aberdeen U21 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Elgin City or draw (85%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Elgin City to win @1.65 – the bookmaker implies 61%, our ratings say 65%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Elgin City or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elgin City 2–1 Aberdeen U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Elgin City65%fair 1.53 · @1.65
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.70
Aberdeen U2115%fair 6.46 · @4.00
3.40Expected goals
2.34Elgin City xG
1.06Aberdeen U21 xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%

From our goals model: Elgin City 2.3 – 1.1 Aberdeen U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultElgin City to win ✗65%1.531.65 ▲
Double chanceElgin City or draw ✗85%1.181.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.551.44
Draw no betElgin City (draw no bet) ✗81%1.24–
Asian handicapElgin City -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
First team to scoreElgin City to score first ✗66%1.51–
Half-time resultElgin City ahead at half-time ✗49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Elgin City / FT Elgin City ✗43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Elgin City – last 6

WWWWLL
10 Oct@ Forfar Athletic2–1W
3 Octvs Clyde6–2W
26 Sep@ Peterhead1–0W
22 Sepvs Dundee II3–0W
19 Sepvs Stranraer1–5L
12 Sep@ Annan Athletic0–2L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Aberdeen U21 – last 6

LLWDWL
26 Sep@ Cove Rangers1–2L
22 Sep@ Banks O' Dee1–2L
8 Sep@ Ross County4–3W
25 Aug@ Fraserburgh1–1D
11 Aug@ Forfar Athletic3–0W
14 Jul@ Keith0–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Elgin City and Aberdeen U21.

Elgin City vs Aberdeen U21 head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Annan Athletic0 Alloa Athletic0 131%3.00X21%3.30247%2.00 1.4–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
FT Berwick Rangers1 Queen of the South0 116%6.50X19%4.60265%1.35 1.3–2.7xG 2Queen of the South to win 65%@1.35 ✗
FT Clydebank4 Dumbarton0 156%1.75X21%3.50222%3.70 2.6–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.40 ✗
FT Cove Rangers2 Formartine United1 165%1.57X19%3.75216%4.50 2.8–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.50 ✓
FT East Kilbride2 Kelty Hearts1 163%1.40X21%4.50216%5.50 3.6–2.0xG GGBoth teams to score 74%@1.36 ✓
FT Peterhead1 Rangers U210 159%1.62X19%3.75221%4.00 2.3–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.44 ✗
FT Ross County2 Forfar Athletic1 175%1.20X15%5.80210%10.00 3.3–1.3xG 1Ross County to win 75%@1.20 ✓
FT Spartans1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic1 164%1.57X24%3.80212%4.40 2.2–1.0xG 1Spartans to win 64%@1.57 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Elgin City vs Aberdeen U21?

Our pick is Elgin City or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Elgin City vs Aberdeen U21?

On our numbers Elgin City have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Aberdeen U21 15%.

How many goals will there be in Elgin City vs Aberdeen U21?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Elgin City vs Aberdeen U21?

Our predicted score is Elgin City 2–1 Aberdeen U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Elgin City vs Aberdeen U21?

Elgin City vs Aberdeen U21 (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Borough Briggs.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.