Plaza Colonia 53%Draw 28%Miramar 19%Expected goals 1.46 – 0.80
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultPlaza Colonia to win ✓53% · @1.77
Double chancePlaza Colonia or draw ✓81% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Plaza Colonia vs Miramar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Plaza Colonia welcome Miramar to Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 2 August (00:30 WAT). In the table, Plaza Colonia are 4th, among the top four, on 38 points after 25 matches; Miramar are 12th (in the drop zone) with 30.
Current form
Plaza Colonia, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tacuarembo, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Miramar, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to La Luz, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Plaza Colonia, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Miramar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Plaza Colonia 1.5 xG, Miramar 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Plaza Colonia 53%, draw 28%, Miramar 19%.
Lower-risk option: Plaza Colonia or draw (81%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plaza Colonia 1–0 Miramar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Plaza Colonia53%fair 1.88 · @1.77
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.25
Miramar19%fair 5.25 · @4.40
2.25Expected goals
1.46Plaza Colonia xG
0.80Miramar xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Plaza Colonia 1.5 – 0.8 Miramar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
Attack vs Segunda División average
+7%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.42
0.83
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plaza Colonia to win✓
53%
1.88
1.77
Double chance
Plaza Colonia or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Plaza Colonia (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Miramar +1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Plaza Colonia to score first✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plaza Colonia / FT Plaza Colonia✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.27
–
Recent results
Plaza Colonia – last 6
WLWLLW
25 Jul
@ Tacuarembo
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ CA River Plate
2–3
L
4 Jul
vs La Luz
1–0
W
28 Jun
@ Cerrito
0–1
L
20 Jun
vs Atenas
1–2
L
14 Jun
@ Paysandu
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Miramar – last 6
LLLDWL
26 Jul
vs La Luz
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ Cashmere Technical
1–2
L
12 Jul
@ Cerrito
0–1
L
6 Jul
vs Atenas
1–1
D
27 Jun
@ Paysandu
3–2
W
19 Jun
vs Sportivo Huracan
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plaza Colonia and Miramar.
What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia vs Miramar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Plaza Colonia vs Miramar?
On our numbers Plaza Colonia have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Miramar 19%.
How many goals will there be in Plaza Colonia vs Miramar?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plaza Colonia vs Miramar?
Our predicted score is Plaza Colonia 1–0 Miramar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Plaza Colonia vs Miramar?
Plaza Colonia vs Miramar (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
