Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCerrito to win ✗40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43
Cerrito vs Fenix: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 2 August the Segunda División brings Cerrito against Fenix. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Cerrito are 8th, lower half, on 34 points after 25 matches; Fenix are 11th (lower half) with 31. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cerrito, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Rentistas, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Fenix, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atenas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerrito 1.4 xG, Fenix 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerrito 40%, draw 27%, Fenix 33%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerrito 1–1 Fenix. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerrito40%fair 2.47 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.10
Fenix33%fair 3.06 · @2.65
2.45Expected goals
1.37Cerrito xG
1.08Fenix xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cerrito 1.4 – 1.1 Fenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cerrito
Fenix
Attack vs Segunda División average
+2%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.42
0.95
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerrito to win✗
40%
2.47
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Cerrito (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Fenix +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Cerrito to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerrito / FT Cerrito✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.43
–
Recent results
Cerrito – last 6
DWDWLL
18 Jul
@ Rentistas
0–0
D
12 Jul
vs Miramar
1–0
W
5 Jul
@ Tacuarembo
0–0
D
28 Jun
vs Plaza Colonia
1–0
W
21 Jun
@ La Luz
0–2
L
14 Jun
@ CA River Plate
4–6
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Fenix – last 6
WLWLDD
26 Jul
vs Atenas
1–0
W
13 Jul
@ Paysandu
0–1
L
5 Jul
vs Sportivo Huracan
2–0
W
27 Jun
@ Uruguay Montevideo
2–3
L
20 Jun
vs Oriental
2–2
D
13 Jun
@ Colón
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerrito and Fenix.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cerrito vs Fenix?
On our numbers Cerrito have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fenix 33%.
How many goals will there be in Cerrito vs Fenix?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerrito vs Fenix?
Our predicted score is Cerrito 1–1 Fenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cerrito vs Fenix?
Cerrito vs Fenix (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
