Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtenas to win ✓37% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.42
Atenas vs Colón: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Monday 3 August: Atenas v Colón in the Segunda División. In the table, Atenas are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 25 matches; Colón are 3rd (among the top four) with 39.
Current form
Atenas, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Fenix, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Colón, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Paysandu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atenas 1.2 xG, Colón 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atenas 37%, draw 28%, Colón 35%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atenas 1–1 Colón. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atenas37%fair 2.69 · @2.75
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.00
Colón35%fair 2.89 · @2.50
2.26Expected goals
1.22Atenas xG
1.05Colón xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Atenas 1.2 – 1.0 Colón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atenas
Colón
Attack vs Segunda División average
+3%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.25
0.92
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atenas to win✓
37%
2.69
2.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Atenas (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Colón +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Atenas to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atenas / FT Atenas✓
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.42
–
Recent results
Atenas – last 6
LLDWWW
26 Jul
@ Fenix
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Rentistas
1–3
L
6 Jul
@ Miramar
1–1
D
27 Jun
vs Tacuarembo
2–0
W
20 Jun
@ Plaza Colonia
2–1
W
14 Jun
vs La Luz
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Colón – last 6
LWWDWD
25 Jul
vs Paysandu
2–3
L
11 Jul
@ Sportivo Huracan
2–0
W
6 Jul
vs Uruguay Montevideo
1–0
W
28 Jun
@ Oriental
1–1
D
20 Jun
vs CA River Plate
2–1
W
13 Jun
vs Fenix
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atenas and Colón.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Atenas vs Colón?
On our numbers Atenas have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Colón 35%.
How many goals will there be in Atenas vs Colón?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atenas vs Colón?
Our predicted score is Atenas 1–1 Colón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atenas vs Colón?
Atenas vs Colón (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
