Value bet: Paysandu to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPaysandu to win ✓38% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.77
Paysandu vs Oriental: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Monday 3 August: Paysandu v Oriental in the Segunda División. In the table, Paysandu are 5th, upper half, on 35 points after 25 matches; Oriental are 6th (upper half) with 34. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Paysandu, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Colón, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Oriental, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sportivo Huracan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paysandu 1.3 xG, Oriental 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paysandu 38%, draw 26%, Oriental 36%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Paysandu to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paysandu 1–1 Oriental. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paysandu38%fair 2.66 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.20
Oriental36%fair 2.76 · @2.25
2.49Expected goals
1.33Paysandu xG
1.17Oriental xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Paysandu 1.3 – 1.2 Oriental expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Paysandu
Oriental
Attack vs Segunda División average
+11%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.48
1.10
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paysandu to win✓
38%
2.66
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.85
Draw no bet
Paysandu (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Oriental +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Paysandu to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paysandu / FT Paysandu✓
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Paysandu – last 6
WWWLLL
25 Jul
@ Colón
3–2
W
13 Jul
vs Fenix
1–0
W
4 Jul
@ Rentistas
2–1
W
27 Jun
vs Miramar
2–3
L
20 Jun
@ Tacuarembo
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Plaza Colonia
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Oriental – last 6
WDLDDW
18 Jul
vs Sportivo Huracan
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Uruguay Montevideo
1–1
D
5 Jul
vs CA River Plate
1–2
L
28 Jun
vs Colón
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ Fenix
2–2
D
14 Jun
vs Rentistas
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paysandu and Oriental.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Paysandu vs Oriental?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Oriental 36%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Oriental?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Oriental?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–1 Oriental, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Oriental?
Paysandu vs Oriental (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
