Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultComerciantes to win ✗48% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.46
Comerciantes vs Bentín Tacna Heroica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:30 WAT, Sunday 9 August: Comerciantes v Bentín Tacna Heroica in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Max Augustin. In the table, Comerciantes are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 16 matches; Bentín Tacna Heroica are 1st (leading the league) with 29. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Comerciantes, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Santos, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Bentín Tacna Heroica, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ayacucho FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bentín Tacna Heroica, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Comerciantes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Comerciantes 1.2 xG, Bentín Tacna Heroica 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 43%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Comerciantes 48%, draw 26%, Bentín Tacna Heroica 27%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Comerciantes 1–0 Bentín Tacna Heroica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Comerciantes48%fair 2.09 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.40
Bentín Tacna Heroica27%fair 3.77 · @4.20
2.20Expected goals
1.21Comerciantes xG
0.99Bentín Tacna Heroica xG
43%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Comerciantes 1.2 – 1.0 Bentín Tacna Heroica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Comerciantes to win✗
48%
2.09
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Comerciantes (draw no bet)
64%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Bentín Tacna Heroica +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Comerciantes to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Comerciantes / FT Comerciantes✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.46
–
Recent results
Comerciantes – last 6
LWDLDW
1 Aug
@ Santos
0–1
L
24 Jul
vs Alianza Universidad
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Sport Huancayo 2
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Sport Boys
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs Estudiantil CNI
0–0
D
20 Jun
@ Union Comercio
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Bentín Tacna Heroica – last 5
WWWDL
2 Aug
vs Ayacucho FC
2–0
W
26 Jul
@ Deportivo Binacional
3–0
W
19 Jul
vs Minas
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ Sporting Cristal
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ UCV Moquegua
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Comerciantes and Bentín Tacna Heroica.
What is the prediction for Comerciantes vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Comerciantes vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
On our numbers Comerciantes have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bentín Tacna Heroica 27%.
How many goals will there be in Comerciantes vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Comerciantes vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
Our predicted score is Comerciantes 1–0 Bentín Tacna Heroica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Comerciantes vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
Comerciantes vs Bentín Tacna Heroica (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Max Augustin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cesar Vallejo1
Molinos El Pirata1