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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cesar Vallejo v Molinos El Pirata: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Peru · Estadio Mansiche
1–1
FT
Cesar Vallejo 54%Draw 26%Molinos El Pirata 21% Expected goals 1.50 – 0.95
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultCesar Vallejo to win ✗54% · @1.67
Double chanceCesar Vallejo or draw ✓79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.69

Cesar Vallejo vs Molinos El Pirata: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:15 WAT, Sunday 9 August: Cesar Vallejo v Molinos El Pirata in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Mansiche. In the table, Cesar Vallejo are 7th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 15 matches; Molinos El Pirata are 4th (among the top four) with 25.

Current form

Cesar Vallejo, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Academia Cantolao, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Molinos El Pirata, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Deportiva Agropecuaria, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Molinos El Pirata, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Cesar Vallejo.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended Molinos El Pirata 2–1 Cesar Vallejo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cesar Vallejo 1.5 xG, Molinos El Pirata 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cesar Vallejo 54%, draw 26%, Molinos El Pirata 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Cesar Vallejo or draw (79%) at 1.14.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cesar Vallejo 1–0 Molinos El Pirata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cesar Vallejo54%fair 1.86 · @1.67
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.50
Molinos El Pirata21%fair 4.85 · @4.40
2.44Expected goals
1.50Cesar Vallejo xG
0.95Molinos El Pirata xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Cesar Vallejo 1.5 – 0.9 Molinos El Pirata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCesar Vallejo to win ✗54%1.861.67
Double chanceCesar Vallejo or draw ✓79%1.261.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.88–
Draw no betCesar Vallejo (draw no bet)72%1.38–
Asian handicapMolinos El Pirata +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreCesar Vallejo to score first56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cesar Vallejo / FT Cesar Vallejo ✗30%3.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.69–

Recent results

Cesar Vallejo – last 6

DDLLDD
1 Aug@ Academia Cantolao1–1D
25 Julvs Union Comercio0–0D
28 Junvs Carlos A. Mannucci2–3L
19 Jun@ Alianza Atletico0–2L
14 Junvs Alianza Lima0–0D
25 May@ Deportiva Agropecuaria1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Molinos El Pirata – last 6

LWLLWW
26 Jul@ Deportiva Agropecuaria1–3L
20 Julvs U. San Martin3–2W
10 Jul@ Alianza Atletico2–3L
22 Jun@ Atletico Grau2–3L
13 Junvs Universitario2–0W
1 Junvs Deportivo Llacuabamba3–1W
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Apr 2026Molinos El Pirata v Cesar Vallejo2–1
Cesar Vallejo vs Molinos El Pirata head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Comercio16952+1432
2Carlos A. Mannucci16934+1030
3Deportivo Llacuabamba16844+1328
4Molinos El Pirata16745+525
5U. San Martin16736+924
6Deportiva Agropecuaria15564+221
7Cesar Vallejo15546+119
8Academia Cantolao16358-1114
9San Marcos140014-430

More Segunda División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cesar Vallejo vs Molinos El Pirata?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Cesar Vallejo vs Molinos El Pirata?

On our numbers Cesar Vallejo have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Molinos El Pirata 21%.

How many goals will there be in Cesar Vallejo vs Molinos El Pirata?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cesar Vallejo vs Molinos El Pirata?

Our predicted score is Cesar Vallejo 1–0 Molinos El Pirata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Cesar Vallejo vs Molinos El Pirata?

Cesar Vallejo vs Molinos El Pirata (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mansiche.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.