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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lewes v Dartford: numbers & prediction

Lewes

DDWWW
1–2
FT
Lewes 38%Draw 20%Dartford 42% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.51
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.41Odds
1

Value bet: Lewes to win @ 2.89 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDartford to win ✓42% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.59

Lewes vs Dartford: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dartford travel to face Lewes on Tuesday 3 November in the Non League Premier Isthmian – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Lewes are 5th, upper half, on 30 points after 17 matches; Dartford are 4th (among the top four) with 30. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Lewes, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Wingate & Finchley, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Dartford, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Aveley, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lewes, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Dartford.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lewes 1.4 xG, Dartford 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lewes 38%, draw 20%, Dartford 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Lewes to win @2.89 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lewes 1–1 Dartford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lewes38%fair 2.63 · @2.89
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.55
Dartford42%fair 2.39 · @2.02
2.93Expected goals
1.42Lewes xG
1.51Dartford xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Lewes 1.4 – 1.5 Dartford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDartford to win ✓42%2.392.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.19
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.53
Draw no betDartford (draw no bet) ✓52%1.91–
Asian handicapLewes +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.16
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.771.61
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.41
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.231.13
First team to scoreDartford to score first ✓49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dartford / FT Dartford ✓23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.59–

Recent results

Lewes – last 6

DDWWWL
31 Octvs Wingate & Finchley2–2D
17 Octvs Maldon & Tiptree1–1D
13 Oct@ Three Bridges2–1W
10 Oct@ Cray Wanderers2–1W
3 Octvs Whitehawk1–0W
26 Sep@ Uxbridge1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Dartford – last 6

LWLLWL
31 Oct@ Aveley3–4L
24 Octvs Three Bridges3–2W
20 Oct@ Brentwood Town0–3L
17 Oct@ Whyteleafe1–2L
10 Octvs Wingate & Finchley2–1W
6 Octvs Ramsgate1–2L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lewes and Dartford.

Lewes vs Dartford head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Isthmian table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enfield Town161213+2737
2Welling United171214+1837
3Eastbourne Borough161114+1334
4Dartford161006+530
5Lewes17935+430
6Ramsgate15816+1425
7Carshalton Athletic17818-725
8Leatherhead14734+724
9St Albans City13724+623
10Chatham Town16718+322
11Wingate & Finchley15645-122
12Burgess Hill Town16574-222
13Whyteleafe16637+121
14Dulwich Hamlet17638-421
15Aveley16628-320
16Maldon & Tiptree186210-1420
17Cray Wanderers11533+1018
18Cheshunt16466-818
19Brentwood Town15519-316
20Three Bridges162410-1710
21Whitehawk171511-238
22Stanway Rovers162212-268

More Non League Premier Isthmian predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lewes vs Dartford?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.

Who will win Lewes vs Dartford?

On our numbers Lewes have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dartford 42%.

How many goals will there be in Lewes vs Dartford?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lewes vs Dartford?

Our predicted score is Lewes 1–1 Dartford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Lewes vs Dartford?

Lewes vs Dartford (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.