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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Wingate & Finchley v Burgess Hill Town: numbers & prediction

Wingate & Finchley 48%Draw 20%Burgess Hill Town 33% Expected goals 1.91 – 1.55
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.46 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.46Odds

Picks by market

ResultWingate & Finchley to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27

Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Wingate & Finchley welcome Burgess Hill Town for a Non League Premier Isthmian fixture on Tuesday 3 November (20:45 WAT). In the table, Wingate & Finchley are 11th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Burgess Hill Town are 12th (lower half) with 22. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Wingate & Finchley, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Lewes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Burgess Hill Town, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Enfield Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Wingate & Finchley, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Burgess Hill Town.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Wingate & Finchley 1–2 Burgess Hill Town. The last 2 head-to-heads: Wingate & Finchley 0 wins, Burgess Hill Town 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wingate & Finchley 1.9 xG, Burgess Hill Town 1.6 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wingate & Finchley 48%, draw 20%, Burgess Hill Town 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wingate & Finchley 2–1 Burgess Hill Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wingate & Finchley48%fair 2.10 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.68
Burgess Hill Town33%fair 3.05 · @2.85
3.47Expected goals
1.91Wingate & Finchley xG
1.55Burgess Hill Town xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%

From our goals model: Wingate & Finchley 1.9 – 1.6 Burgess Hill Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWingate & Finchley to win ✗48%2.102.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.251.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.42
Draw no betWingate & Finchley (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapBurgess Hill Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.191.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.551.46
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.761.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.341.18
First team to scoreWingate & Finchley to score first53%1.87–
Half-time resultWingate & Finchley ahead at half-time ✗37%2.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Wingate & Finchley / FT Wingate & Finchley ✗29%3.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.27–

Recent results

Wingate & Finchley – last 6

DWWWWL
31 Oct@ Lewes2–2D
24 Oct@ Needham Market2–0W
20 Octvs Carshalton Athletic4–2W
17 Octvs Stanway Rovers4–1W
13 Octvs Ramsgate2–0W
10 Oct@ Dartford1–2L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Burgess Hill Town – last 6

LLDWLW
31 Octvs Enfield Town0–6L
27 Oct@ St Albans City1–3L
24 Oct@ Erith Town3–3D
21 Oct@ Whyteleafe3–2W
17 Oct@ Welling United2–4L
13 Octvs Dulwich Hamlet2–0W
1.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Mar 2026Wingate & Finchley v Burgess Hill Town1–2
21 Feb 2026Burgess Hill Town v Wingate & Finchley3–1
Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Isthmian table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enfield Town161213+2737
2Welling United171214+1837
3Eastbourne Borough161114+1334
4Dartford161006+530
5Lewes17935+430
6Ramsgate15816+1425
7Carshalton Athletic17818-725
8Leatherhead14734+724
9St Albans City13724+623
10Chatham Town16718+322
11Wingate & Finchley15645-122
12Burgess Hill Town16574-222
13Whyteleafe16637+121
14Dulwich Hamlet17638-421
15Aveley16628-320
16Maldon & Tiptree186210-1420
17Cray Wanderers11533+1018
18Cheshunt16466-818
19Brentwood Town15519-316
20Three Bridges162410-1710
21Whitehawk171511-238
22Stanway Rovers162212-268

More Non League Premier Isthmian predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.

Who will win Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?

On our numbers Wingate & Finchley have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Burgess Hill Town 33%.

How many goals will there be in Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?

Our predicted score is Wingate & Finchley 2–1 Burgess Hill Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?

Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.