Aveley 38%Draw 20%Chatham Town 42%Expected goals 1.57 – 1.66
60%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Chatham Town to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChatham Town to win ✗42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.68
Aveley vs Chatham Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Aveley v Chatham Town in the Non League Premier Isthmian. In the table, Aveley are 15th, lower half, on 20 points after 16 matches; Chatham Town are 10th (upper half) with 22. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aveley, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Burgess Hill Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Chatham Town, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Brentwood Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chatham Town, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Aveley.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aveley 1.6 xG, Chatham Town 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aveley 38%, draw 20%, Chatham Town 42%.
Price worth noting: Chatham Town to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aveley 1–2 Chatham Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aveley38%fair 2.63 · @2.15
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Chatham Town42%fair 2.39 · @2.70
3.23Expected goals
1.57Aveley xG
1.66Chatham Town xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Aveley 1.6 – 1.7 Chatham Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chatham Town to win✗
42%
2.39
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Chatham Town (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Aveley +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Chatham Town to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chatham Town / FT Chatham Town✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.68
–
Recent results
Aveley – last 6
DLLWLL
10 Oct
@ Burgess Hill Town
1–1
D
6 Oct
@ Cheshunt
1–2
L
29 Sep
@ Dulwich Hamlet
0–2
L
25 Sep
vs Ware
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Brentwood Town
2–3
L
14 Sep
vs Wingate & Finchley
3–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chatham Town – last 6
WLLWLW
10 Oct
vs Brentwood Town
3–0
W
3 Oct
@ Dorking Wanderers
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Berkhamsted
1–3
L
19 Sep
@ Slough Town
1–0
W
15 Sep
@ Eastbourne Borough
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Lewes
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aveley and Chatham Town.
What is the prediction for Aveley vs Chatham Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Aveley vs Chatham Town?
On our numbers Aveley have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chatham Town 42%.
How many goals will there be in Aveley vs Chatham Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aveley vs Chatham Town?
Our predicted score is Aveley 1–2 Chatham Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Aveley vs Chatham Town?
Aveley vs Chatham Town (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
