Welling United 60%Draw 17%Burgess Hill Town 23%Expected goals 1.84 – 1.00
60%
Betarazi pick
Welling United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultWelling United to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 16.42
Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Welling United welcome Burgess Hill Town for a Non League Premier Isthmian fixture on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Welling United are 2nd, among the top four, on 37 points after 17 matches; Burgess Hill Town are 12th (lower half) with 22. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Welling United, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Eastbourne Borough, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Burgess Hill Town, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Dulwich Hamlet, at home. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Welling United 1.8 xG, Burgess Hill Town 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Welling United 60%, draw 17%, Burgess Hill Town 23%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Welling United to win (60%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Welling United 1–0 Burgess Hill Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Welling United60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw17%fair 5.86 · @3.70
Burgess Hill Town23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
2.84Expected goals
1.84Welling United xG
1.00Burgess Hill Town xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Welling United 1.8 – 1.0 Burgess Hill Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Welling United to win✓
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Welling United (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Burgess Hill Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Welling United to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Welling United ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Welling United / FT Welling United✓
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
6%
16.42
–
Recent results
Welling United – last 6
LWWDLW
10 Oct
@ Eastbourne Borough
0–1
L
6 Oct
@ Maldon & Tiptree
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Whyteleafe
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Chertsey Town
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Dulwich Hamlet
1–4
L
15 Sep
vs Cheshunt
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Burgess Hill Town – last 6
WDWWLW
13 Oct
vs Dulwich Hamlet
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Aveley
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Maldon & Tiptree
4–1
W
26 Sep
vs Winslow United
6–2
W
19 Sep
@ Hanwell Town
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Jersey Bulls
3–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Welling United and Burgess Hill Town.
What is the prediction for Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town?
Our pick is Welling United to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town?
On our numbers Welling United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Burgess Hill Town 23%.
How many goals will there be in Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town?
Our predicted score is Welling United 1–0 Burgess Hill Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town?
Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
