Bury 61%Draw 20%Lancaster City 18%Expected goals 1.95 – 0.95
61%
Betarazi pick
Bury to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultBury to win ✗61% · @1.55
Double chanceBury or draw ✗82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Bury vs Lancaster City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 25 August: Bury v Lancaster City in the Non League Premier Northern, played at Gigg Lane. In the table, Bury are 7th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Lancaster City are 14th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Bury, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gainsborough Trinity, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lancaster City, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Quorn, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bury, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Lancaster City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bury 1.9 xG, Lancaster City 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bury 61%, draw 20%, Lancaster City 18%.
Lower-risk option: Bury or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bury to win (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bury 1–0 Lancaster City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bury61%fair 1.64 · @1.55
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.60
Lancaster City18%fair 5.42 · @5.00
2.90Expected goals
1.95Bury xG
0.95Lancaster City xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Bury 1.9 – 1.0 Lancaster City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bury to win✗
61%
1.64
1.55
Double chance
Bury or draw✗
82%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.75
Draw no bet
Bury (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Bury -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Bury to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Bury ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bury / FT Bury✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Bury – last 6
WLWWDW
22 Aug
@ Gainsborough Trinity
1–0
W
18 Aug
@ Guiseley AFC
2–3
L
15 Aug
vs Rylands
1–0
W
11 Aug
vs Curzon Ashton
3–2
W
8 Aug
@ Redcar Athletic
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs Radcliffe
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lancaster City – last 6
DLLWLD
22 Aug
vs Quorn
2–2
D
18 Aug
@ Redcar Athletic
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Hyde United
1–2
L
11 Aug
vs Rylands
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Ashton United
1–4
L
21 Jul
vs Preston North End U21
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bury and Lancaster City.
What is the prediction for Bury vs Lancaster City?
Our pick is Bury to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Bury vs Lancaster City?
On our numbers Bury have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lancaster City 18%.
How many goals will there be in Bury vs Lancaster City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bury vs Lancaster City?
Our predicted score is Bury 1–0 Lancaster City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bury vs Lancaster City?
Bury vs Lancaster City (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Gigg Lane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
