Guiseley AFC 58%Draw 24%Stockton Town 18%Expected goals 1.85 – 0.95
82%
Betarazi pick
Guiseley AFC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: Guiseley AFC to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGuiseley AFC to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceGuiseley AFC or draw ✓82% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Guiseley AFC vs Stockton Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 25 August: Guiseley AFC v Stockton Town in the Non League Premier Northern. In the table, Guiseley AFC are 4th, among the top four, on 33 points after 16 matches; Stockton Town are 16th (lower half) with 18. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Guiseley AFC, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Curzon Ashton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Stockton Town, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Alfreton Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Guiseley AFC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Stockton Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guiseley AFC 1.9 xG, Stockton Town 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guiseley AFC 58%, draw 24%, Stockton Town 18%.
Lower-risk option: Guiseley AFC or draw (82%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Guiseley AFC to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Guiseley AFC or draw (82%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guiseley AFC 1–0 Stockton Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guiseley AFC58%fair 1.72 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.10
Stockton Town18%fair 5.49 · @3.40
2.80Expected goals
1.85Guiseley AFC xG
0.95Stockton Town xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Guiseley AFC 1.9 – 0.9 Stockton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guiseley AFC to win✓
58%
1.72
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Guiseley AFC or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.73
Draw no bet
Guiseley AFC (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Stockton Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Guiseley AFC to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Guiseley AFC ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guiseley AFC / FT Guiseley AFC✓
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Guiseley AFC – last 6
WWDWLD
22 Aug
@ Curzon Ashton
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Bury
3–2
W
15 Aug
@ Workington
2–2
D
11 Aug
@ Whitby Town
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Warrington Town
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Barnsley
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stockton Town – last 6
WLDLLL
22 Aug
vs Alfreton Town
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Gainsborough Trinity
1–4
L
15 Aug
vs Leek Town
1–1
D
11 Aug
vs Ashton United
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Ilkeston Town
0–1
L
28 Apr
@ Hednesford Town
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guiseley AFC and Stockton Town.
What is the prediction for Guiseley AFC vs Stockton Town?
Our pick is Guiseley AFC or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Stockton Town?
On our numbers Guiseley AFC have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stockton Town 18%.
How many goals will there be in Guiseley AFC vs Stockton Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guiseley AFC vs Stockton Town?
Our predicted score is Guiseley AFC 1–0 Stockton Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Guiseley AFC vs Stockton Town?
Guiseley AFC vs Stockton Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
