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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alfreton Town v Guiseley AFC: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
Alfreton Town 38%Draw 22%Guiseley AFC 41% Expected goals 1.55 – 1.62
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultGuiseley AFC to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70

Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 29 September the Non League Premier Northern brings Alfreton Town against Guiseley AFC. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Alfreton Town are 11th, upper half, on 23 points after 18 matches; Guiseley AFC are 4th (among the top four) with 33.

Current form

Alfreton Town, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Shifnal Town FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Guiseley AFC, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Bamber Bridge, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Guiseley AFC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Alfreton Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alfreton Town 1.5 xG, Guiseley AFC 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alfreton Town 38%, draw 22%, Guiseley AFC 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alfreton Town 1–1 Guiseley AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alfreton Town38%fair 2.66 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.25
Guiseley AFC41%fair 2.46 · @2.50
3.17Expected goals
1.55Alfreton Town xG
1.62Guiseley AFC xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–07%

From our goals model: Alfreton Town 1.5 – 1.6 Guiseley AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuiseley AFC to win ✗41%2.462.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.601.57
Draw no betGuiseley AFC (draw no bet) ✗52%1.93–
Asian handicapAlfreton Town +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreGuiseley AFC to score first ✗49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guiseley AFC / FT Guiseley AFC ✗24%4.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.70–

Recent results

Alfreton Town – last 6

WLLWLW
26 Sepvs Shifnal Town FC2–1W
12 Sep@ Bamber Bridge0–1L
5 Sepvs Stratford Town0–2L
31 Aug@ Whitby Town4–1W
29 Augvs Rylands1–2L
25 Augvs Hyde United4–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Guiseley AFC – last 6

WWWDWL
26 Sepvs Bamber Bridge4–2W
19 Sep@ Hebburn Town4–1W
12 Sepvs Quorn4–1W
5 Sep@ Stockton Town2–2D
31 Aug@ AFC Emley4–0W
28 Augvs Lancaster City1–2L
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alfreton Town and Guiseley AFC.

Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Northern table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic181152+2238
2Curzon Ashton181215+1437
3Cleethorpes Town171133+2436
4Guiseley AFC161033+1833
5Rylands17935+730
6Workington18936+430
7Bury16925+1429
8Gainsborough Trinity17926+929
9Warrington Town17854+729
10Avro17926+629
11Alfreton Town18729-223
12AFC Emley18657-823
13Quorn17566-221
14Lancaster City18639-1121
15Whitby Town176110-2119
16Stockton Town185310-518
17Hyde United17539-1318
18Ashton United17458-217
19Leek Town17458-517
20Ilkeston Town184113-2513
21United of Manchester16268-712
22Bamber Bridge182511-2411

More Non League Premier Northern predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC?

On our numbers Alfreton Town have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Guiseley AFC 41%.

How many goals will there be in Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC?

Our predicted score is Alfreton Town 1–1 Guiseley AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC?

Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.