Alfreton Town 38%Draw 22%Guiseley AFC 41%Expected goals 1.55 – 1.62
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultGuiseley AFC to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 29 September the Non League Premier Northern brings Alfreton Town against Guiseley AFC. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Alfreton Town are 11th, upper half, on 23 points after 18 matches; Guiseley AFC are 4th (among the top four) with 33.
Current form
Alfreton Town, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Shifnal Town FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Guiseley AFC, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Bamber Bridge, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Guiseley AFC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Alfreton Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alfreton Town 1.5 xG, Guiseley AFC 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alfreton Town 38%, draw 22%, Guiseley AFC 41%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alfreton Town 1–1 Guiseley AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alfreton Town38%fair 2.66 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.25
Guiseley AFC41%fair 2.46 · @2.50
3.17Expected goals
1.55Alfreton Town xG
1.62Guiseley AFC xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Alfreton Town 1.5 – 1.6 Guiseley AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guiseley AFC to win✗
41%
2.46
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.57
Draw no bet
Guiseley AFC (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Alfreton Town +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Guiseley AFC to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guiseley AFC / FT Guiseley AFC✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.70
–
Recent results
Alfreton Town – last 6
WLLWLW
26 Sep
vs Shifnal Town FC
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bamber Bridge
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Stratford Town
0–2
L
31 Aug
@ Whitby Town
4–1
W
29 Aug
vs Rylands
1–2
L
25 Aug
vs Hyde United
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Guiseley AFC – last 6
WWWDWL
26 Sep
vs Bamber Bridge
4–2
W
19 Sep
@ Hebburn Town
4–1
W
12 Sep
vs Quorn
4–1
W
5 Sep
@ Stockton Town
2–2
D
31 Aug
@ AFC Emley
4–0
W
28 Aug
vs Lancaster City
1–2
L
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alfreton Town and Guiseley AFC.
What is the prediction for Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC?
On our numbers Alfreton Town have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Guiseley AFC 41%.
How many goals will there be in Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC?
Our predicted score is Alfreton Town 1–1 Guiseley AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC?
Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.