AFC Emley 29%Draw 22%Workington 49%Expected goals 1.30 – 1.76
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Workington to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultWorkington to win ✓49% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.61
AFC Emley vs Workington: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Workington travel to face AFC Emley on Tuesday 29 September in the Non League Premier Northern – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, AFC Emley are 12th, lower half, on 23 points after 18 matches; Workington are 6th (upper half) with 30.
Current form
AFC Emley, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Bootle, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Workington, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Blyth Spartans, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Momentum favours Workington, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.3 for AFC Emley.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Emley 1.3 xG, Workington 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Emley 29%, draw 22%, Workington 49%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Workington to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Emley 1–1 Workington. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Emley29%fair 3.41 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.20
Workington49%fair 2.05 · @2.20
3.06Expected goals
1.30AFC Emley xG
1.76Workington xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: AFC Emley 1.3 – 1.8 Workington expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Workington to win✓
49%
2.05
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.60
Draw no bet
Workington (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
AFC Emley +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Workington to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Workington / FT Workington✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
AFC Emley – last 6
LLLLDD
26 Sep
@ Bootle
0–5
L
19 Sep
vs Spennymoor Town
0–4
L
12 Sep
@ Bury
0–4
L
31 Aug
vs Guiseley AFC
0–4
L
29 Aug
@ Warrington Town
2–2
D
25 Aug
@ Redcar Athletic
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Workington – last 6
WLWWWW
26 Sep
vs Blyth Spartans
4–2
W
19 Sep
@ Bury
1–5
L
12 Sep
vs Ilkeston Town
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Marske United
3–0
W
31 Aug
@ Lancaster City
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Leek Town
3–2
W
2.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Emley and Workington.
What is the prediction for AFC Emley vs Workington?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win AFC Emley vs Workington?
On our numbers AFC Emley have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Workington 49%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Emley vs Workington?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Emley vs Workington?
Our predicted score is AFC Emley 1–1 Workington, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is AFC Emley vs Workington?
AFC Emley vs Workington (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
